CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe55f80486f1858fff60bac4eef9a28e512f2851b2dc5ffa00e2a5c4b71decd04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BASEMENT BOYSof BET-M 33, BASEMENT BOYS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked BET-M 33 | 65c | 5,397$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,533.13 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 37c | 2,474$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.76 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed BET-M 33 | 71c | 1,991$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.3 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed BET-M 33 | 54c | 1,797$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.52 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked BET-M 33 | 8c | 1,524$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.93 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BASEMENT BOYS | 43c | 1,347$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.26 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked BET-M 33 | 9c | 1,200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 301 | 23.3%70 W · 231 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 33c | 1,086$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.93 | 633 | 41.9%265 W · 368 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BET-M 33 | 64c | 1,046$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.2 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed BASEMENT BOYS | 43c | 1,006$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.32 | 1,083 | 54.2%587 W · 496 L | +39.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed BASEMENT BOYS | 31c | 867.54$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.54 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed BET-M 33 | 57c | 665.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.39 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed BASEMENT BOYS | 29c | 650.19$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.63 | 1,314 | 44.3%582 W · 732 L | +47.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed BASEMENT BOYS | 29c | 644.39$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.51 | 604 | 34.1%206 W · 398 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 32c | 560.53$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.53 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BET-M 33 | 28c | 490.29$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.68 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BET-M 33 | 14c | 485.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed BET-M 33 | 10c | 450$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed BET-M 33 | 38c | 437.92$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.24 | 620 | 48.2%299 W · 321 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…3080backed BET-M 33 | 71c | 414.06$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.98 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed BASEMENT BOYS | 35c | 409$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.85 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked BET-M 33 | 15c | 360$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 270 | 41.1%111 W · 159 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9618backed BET-M 33 | 71c | 320.14$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.3 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 32c | 249.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed BASEMENT BOYS | 29c | 249.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.48 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed BASEMENT BOYS | 30c | 227.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.59 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BASEMENT BOYS | 39c | 215.19$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef6…1f30backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…3f5fbacked BET-M 33 | 36c | 184$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked BET-M 33 | 68c | 169.16$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed BASEMENT BOYS | 71c | 162$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BET-M 33 | 9c | 157.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BASEMENT BOYS | 43c | 145.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed BASEMENT BOYS | 69c | 132$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed BET-M 33 | 30c | 130.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked BASEMENT BOYS | 33c | 123.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed BASEMENT BOYS | 35c | 111$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed BASEMENT BOYS | 36c | 110$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 480 | 40%192 W · 288 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 62c | 106$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 66c | 96.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed BASEMENT BOYS | 37c | 95.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked BET-M 33 | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked BET-M 33 | 18c | 67.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed BET-M 33 | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BET-M 33 | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed BASEMENT BOYS | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339b…d889backed BET-M 33 | 70c | 35.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 37c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…1d6bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 35c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 28.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed BET-M 33 | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed BET-M 33 | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 42.3%105 W · 143 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…f115backed BASEMENT BOYS | 71c | 21.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked BET-M 33 | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf6…8b41backed BET-M 33 | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063e…3ac1backed BET-M 33 | 75c | 19.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 PlayoffsBET-M 33 won
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 1 WinnerBET-M 33 won
- Map Handicap: 33 (-1.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+1.5)BASEMENT BOYS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.