CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2127aed0dcc02bf2356399944e58137702452434e7022ebbf3506a42d56312ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BET-M 33of BET-M 33, BASEMENT BOYS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed BASEMENT BOYS | 41c | 1,635$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.58 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 12c | 802.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BET-M 33 | 65c | 526.97$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.87 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BET-M 33 | 70c | 511.26$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BET-M 33 | 68c | 358.86$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.47 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 24c | 305.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed BET-M 33 | 73c | 299.59$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 624 | 48.2%301 W · 323 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed BASEMENT BOYS | 25c | 284.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 618 | 34.6%214 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BET-M 33 | 57c | 257.72$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…bb76backed BASEMENT BOYS | 35c | 234$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9618backed BET-M 33 | 67c | 231.07$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…0f33backed BET-M 33 | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed BET-M 33 | 64c | 111.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 27c | 102$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed BASEMENT BOYS | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 44c | 95.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed BASEMENT BOYS | 35c | 93.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed BET-M 33 | 72c | 83.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed BASEMENT BOYS | 33c | 82.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BET-M 33 | 69c | 78.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed BASEMENT BOYS | 36c | 74.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked BET-M 33 | 41c | 73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 32c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed BASEMENT BOYS | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked BASEMENT BOYS | 36c | 43.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed BASEMENT BOYS | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed BET-M 33 | 56c | 40.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…1d6bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked BET-M 33 | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked BET-M 33 | 60c | 16.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 PlayoffsBET-M 33 won
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 WinnerBASEMENT BOYS won
- Map Handicap: 33 (-1.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+1.5)BASEMENT BOYS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.