CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Mindfreak - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb84ae568a5ecf7981c7d141cfb8a212e5cff99cbd4c3908384932212b2839296
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mindfreakof Abyssal, Mindfreak
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde24…e804backed Abyssal | 46c | 999.96$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.98 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Abyssal | 41c | 970.13$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Abyssal | 61c | 771.2$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.98 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Mindfreak | 60c | 539.19$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.19 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed Mindfreak | 47c | 396.13$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.44 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Mindfreak | 38c | 322$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.64 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Abyssal | 11c | 219.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Abyssal | 48c | 218.65$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Abyssal | 54c | 198.61$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 213 | 46.9%100 W · 113 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mindfreak | 63c | 184.26$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Abyssal | 50c | 140.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Abyssal | 46c | 138.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Mindfreak | 65c | 134.03$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Abyssal | 58c | 133.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Mindfreak | 64c | 130.83$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Abyssal | 51c | 125.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Abyssal | 19c | 106.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d98…7900backed Abyssal | 62c | 105.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Abyssal | 60c | 101.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked Mindfreak | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 108 | 67.6%73 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Abyssal | 53c | 91.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Mindfreak | 71c | 87.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Mindfreak | 45c | 82.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Mindfreak | 56c | 75.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Abyssal | 72c | 73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Mindfreak | 66c | 72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Abyssal | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…c69ebacked Mindfreak | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Abyssal | 62c | 56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Mindfreak | 29c | 53.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Abyssal | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Abyssal | 67c | 40.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Mindfreak | 72c | 34.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Abyssal | 63c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3b…5a8fbacked Abyssal | 69c | 30.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Mindfreak | 64c | 29.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Abyssal | 66c | 24.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed Mindfreak | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0d…6326backed Mindfreak | 78c | 20.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…6cedbacked Abyssal | 68c | 20.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Mindfreak | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Abyssal | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Mindfreak | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Mindfreak - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Mindfreak (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group AMindfreak won
- Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Mindfreak - Map 1 WinnerAbyssal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.