Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ef717fec40424fffe6f1448930000d013204596b4daf271ce9dcefd641faac3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex | 37c | 2,734$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.24 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Spirit | 64c | 2,000$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 1,789$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.35 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Team Yandex | 37c | 1,587$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.07 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 1,103$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.73 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Yandex | 43c | 937.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.39 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Team Spirit | 64c | 920.72$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.26 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 864.03$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.7 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Yandex | 47c | 755$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.1 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Yandex | 38c | 637.91$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.34 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 540.54$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.54 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…e44ebacked Team Spirit | 65c | 366.47$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…737abacked Team Yandex | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Team Spirit | 62c | 251$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Team Spirit | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Yandex | 41c | 250$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Team Spirit | 56c | 249.43$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e79…1763backed Team Yandex | 40c | 244.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.14 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Team Spirit | 63c | 239$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Team Yandex | 34c | 230.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.11 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 180$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed Team Yandex | 46c | 174.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Team Spirit | 64c | 157$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…3eb7backed Team Spirit | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Team Yandex | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team Yandex | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Team Yandex | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Team Yandex | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Team Spirit | 62c | 119.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Team Yandex | 37c | 115.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Team Yandex | 37c | 107.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -11.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Yandex | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…7574backed Team Spirit | 66c | 91.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Team Yandex | 38c | 83.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b7…fd5ebacked Team Spirit | 64c | 74.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 72.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Team Spirit | 61c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Team Spirit | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Yandex | 64c | 60.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Team Spirit | 59c | 55.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…429ebacked Team Spirit | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Team Spirit | 33c | 48.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…1813backed Team Spirit | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 42.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Team Yandex | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2291…bd56backed Team Spirit | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e8…e69cbacked Team Yandex | 42c | 34.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Spirit | 58c | 34.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…ad96backed Team Yandex | 38c | 32.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Spirit | 63c | 30.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 24.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89d3…072dbacked Team Yandex | 69c | 15.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.