CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Entropy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x113bba10614a9e708833f6e2a24b09edc6c85d6cd8ee890382a3e0f8e035f41d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, Entropy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked HOTU | 35c | 17,624$6,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,394.76 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Entropy | 41c | 6,977$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.77 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Entropy | 38c | 6,728$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.79 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked HOTU | 55c | 5,250$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.5 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Entropy | 44c | 4,478$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed HOTU | 54c | 3,215$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.87 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Entropy | 40c | 3,137$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.67 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…218ebacked HOTU | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.02 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Entropy | 61c | 2,999$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.94 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Entropy | 60c | 2,711$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.64 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed HOTU | 75c | 2,670$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.31 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed Entropy | 27c | 2,538$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.25 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Entropy | 54c | 2,521$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.55 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Entropy | 37c | 2,386$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.05 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed HOTU | 38c | 2,292$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.18 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed HOTU | 67c | 2,233$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.66 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff45…4bc2backed HOTU | 51c | 1,850$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…7a34backed HOTU | 19c | 1,787$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.77 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Entropy | 31c | 1,750$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.68 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…3fffbacked HOTU | 67c | 1,672$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed HOTU | 67c | 1,550$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.54 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Entropy | 17c | 1,521$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.67 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Entropy | 4c | 1,484$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed HOTU | 59c | 1,444$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.33 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Entropy | 23c | 1,395$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.09 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked HOTU | 36c | 1,346$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.61 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Entropy | 45c | 1,290$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.28 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Entropy | 36c | 1,204$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.8 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Entropy | 21c | 1,188$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HOTU | 71c | 1,132$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.13 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Entropy | 25c | 1,090$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.87 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked HOTU | 79c | 1,088$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.7 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Entropy | 40c | 1,064$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.25 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Entropy | 14c | 1,052$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Entropy | 57c | 1,038$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.27 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked HOTU | 68c | 1,024$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.3 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Entropy | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed HOTU | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…c994backed Entropy | 57c | 990$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Entropy | 41c | 987.05$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.89 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Entropy | 7c | 975.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed HOTU | 24c | 913.81$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.11 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Entropy | 38c | 886.52$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…f362backed Entropy | 24c | 885$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.98 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Entropy | 18c | 874.9$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.48 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…b406backed HOTU | 47c | 735.02$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.56 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Entropy | 77c | 730.49$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.47 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…9aeebacked Entropy | 45c | 643.13$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.41 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Entropy | 44c | 620.6$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.5 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Entropy | 46c | 602.66$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.3 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b59…dd43backed Entropy | 10c | 601.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Entropy | 41c | 578.71$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.45 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked HOTU | 16c | 578.55$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.55 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Entropy | 41c | 560.01$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.6 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Entropy | 25c | 544.11$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.88 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Entropy | 39c | 517.95$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed HOTU | 52c | 508.98$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.31 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Entropy | 44c | 499.27$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.55 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…55f3backed Entropy | 5c | 487.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Entropy | 14c | 474.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Entropy | 53c | 461.76$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.32 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked HOTU | 66c | 452.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 108 | 67.6%73 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Entropy | 28c | 449.55$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.72 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…d6a4backed Entropy | 67c | 448.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.5 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed Entropy | 20c | 440.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Entropy | 41c | 428.74$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.24 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Entropy | 37c | 426.97$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.98 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Entropy | 38c | 424.49$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.44 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0d…32e1backed Entropy | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Entropy | 58c | 387$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.46 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Entropy | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed HOTU | 57c | 372.01$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.01 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed HOTU | 68c | 359.7$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed HOTU | 68c | 356.45$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Entropy | 42c | 337.34$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.31 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…6da1backed Entropy | 76c | 336.73$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.92 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…a065backed HOTU | 23c | 319.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.46 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…59ffbacked HOTU | 35c | 309.7$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.69 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed HOTU | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Entropy | 20c | 272$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Entropy | 75c | 271.68$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.19 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Entropy | 18c | 270.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Entropy | 60c | 270$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Entropy | 69c | 268$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.15 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Entropy | 18c | 266.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…6e29backed Entropy | 8c | 265.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked HOTU | 68c | 256.28$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Entropy | 75c | 249.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed Entropy | 15c | 248.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked HOTU | 63c | 241.77$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…4750backed HOTU | 12c | 227.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +327.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Entropy | 64c | 225.69$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Entropy | 32c | 223.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Entropy | 18c | 223.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed HOTU | 62c | 220.66$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c93…592fbacked Entropy | 5c | 219.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…b556backed Entropy | 7c | 210.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked HOTU | 23c | 209.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.31 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed HOTU | 26c | 207.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.31 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked HOTU | 73c | 206.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Entropy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Entropy - Map 1 WinnerEntropy won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Entropy - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.