CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Entropy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b50ab25d6307f3f625d4f448d9f332c66c6e3f79093a6f78c6826971ec1ed6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, Entropy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked HOTU | 52c | 4,826$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.75 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Entropy | 54c | 2,753$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.83 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed HOTU | 51c | 2,396$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.04 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff45…4bc2backed HOTU | 28c | 2,113$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked HOTU | 37c | 1,993$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.2 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed Entropy | 49c | 1,839$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Entropy | 65c | 1,240$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.56 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Entropy | 59c | 1,213$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.29 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Entropy | 75c | 1,051$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.14 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed HOTU | 45c | 947.7$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.92 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Entropy | 67c | 826.78$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.15 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed HOTU | 33c | 699.97$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.98 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Entropy | 57c | 643.24$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.51 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Entropy | 53c | 601.49$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.41 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Entropy | 44c | 564.38$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.3 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Entropy | 46c | 433.93$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.76 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Entropy | 44c | 422.3$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.81 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Entropy | 49c | 332.82$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked Entropy | 61c | 326.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 67.6%73 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Entropy | 44c | 326$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.44 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Entropy | 40c | 310.18$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.51 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed HOTU | 60c | 280.42$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked HOTU | 40c | 269.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed Entropy | 64c | 257.64$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.89 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Entropy | 56c | 225.03$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Entropy | 44c | 219.93$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked HOTU | 51c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae7…ee72backed Entropy | 72c | 187.57$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1e…1e15backed Entropy | 62c | 169.2$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Entropy | 60c | 168.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked HOTU | 36c | 133.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Entropy | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Entropy | 50c | 123$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Entropy | 44c | 115.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Entropy | 11c | 115.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Entropy | 50c | 102.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…aeb7backed Entropy | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…0445backed Entropy | 72c | 98.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1b…dcf3backed Entropy | 44c | 91.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Entropy | 57c | 87.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa63f…b685backed Entropy | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Entropy | 67c | 65.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed Entropy | 50c | 55.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Entropy | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked HOTU | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked HOTU | 31c | 49.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked HOTU | 62c | 48.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…a418backed Entropy | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Entropy | 31c | 46.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked HOTU | 33c | 42.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…6a2cbacked Entropy | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Entropy | 54c | 38.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Entropy | 36c | 37.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Entropy | 67c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Entropy | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Entropy | 67c | 31.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed HOTU | 60c | 28.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Entropy | 75c | 26.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Entropy | 58c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…97b6backed HOTU | 60c | 24.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked HOTU | 57c | 23.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed HOTU | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Entropy | 72c | 16.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed HOTU | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Entropy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Entropy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 PlayoffsHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Entropy - Map 1 WinnerEntropy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.