CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Entropy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa20bfcc8992fb45d34af7c18fdd081c65a2e5de526f1c64b4bf4d1d8b241203b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Entropyof HOTU, Entropy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked HOTU | 38c | 2,974$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.4 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff45…4bc2backed HOTU | 48c | 1,650$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…053ebacked Entropy | 67c | 999.99$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.78 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Entropy | 47c | 914.86$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.94 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe82f…a089backed HOTU | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.87 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Entropy | 52c | 500$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.5 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Entropy | 61c | 492.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.13 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Entropy | 63c | 406.9$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.15 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Entropy | 47c | 401$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.68 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Entropy | 37c | 390.2$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.18 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Entropy | 58c | 337$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.97 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Entropy | 37c | 269.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.93 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Entropy | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Entropy | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Entropy | 35c | 150.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Entropy | 60c | 97.49$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked HOTU | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Entropy | 59c | 52.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed HOTU | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed Entropy | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -11.4wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed HOTU | 58c | 28.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed HOTU | 48c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Entropy | 65c | 24.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Entropy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Entropy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 PlayoffsHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Entropy - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.