Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3052378709b81d206bbd4f80e52da8630dbf6f4862677d44818c2b6ca6722ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Virtus.pro, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Yandex | 78c | 12,509$9,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.3 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 10,065$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.65 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Virtus.pro | 12c | 8,013$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.56 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 6,884$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.4 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro | 13c | 6,809$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.43 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…72e7backed Team Yandex | 79c | 5,374$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.77 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Virtus.pro | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…6407backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 3,791$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.24 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 3,573$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.74 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe767…9107backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 2,301$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb521…34aebacked Virtus.pro | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.98 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Yandex | 79c | 1,650$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 1,509$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.34 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 18c | 1,297$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.5 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Virtus.pro | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 999.77$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.96 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 999.14$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.85 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 875.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 829.17$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 752$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed Team Yandex | 75c | 620$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Yandex | 78c | 587.68$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.29 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 471.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Virtus.pro | 10c | 414.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Team Yandex | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Team Yandex | 79c | 365.68$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Yandex | 79c | 350$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Team Yandex | 79c | 350$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…bdc8backed Team Yandex | 76c | 335.79$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 307.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Team Yandex | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 299.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Team Yandex | 80c | 285.05$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.01 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 280.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Virtus.pro | 15c | 275.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Yandex | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Yandex | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Yandex | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 249.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 225$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Yandex | 78c | 216.07$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…0effbacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Team Yandex | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Yandex | 77c | 194.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…21e0backed Team Yandex | 79c | 190.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Team Yandex | 79c | 182.81$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Team Yandex | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Team Yandex | 79c | 151.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 139 | 75.5%105 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Team Yandex | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 125.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Team Yandex | 79c | 125.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…35febacked Team Yandex | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd85…1a8dbacked Team Yandex | 78c | 110.64$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Team Yandex | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…94c8backed Team Yandex | 78c | 99.17$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…b585backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Team Yandex | 78c | 70.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Team Yandex | 79c | 56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Yandex | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf76e…3650backed Team Yandex | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…516bbacked Team Yandex | 76c | 40.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 40.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…6993backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2512backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf461…9ef2backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f90…a39fbacked Team Yandex | 79c | 39.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…866ebacked Team Yandex | 76c | 32.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Yandex | 75c | 25.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Team Yandex | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…49e3backed Team Yandex | 79c | 13.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Team Yandex | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Yandex (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group DTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.