Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30cc639049b42da58030ef809537530fd4d4e5c6f87ab98f18de33c16a77a401
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Virtus.pro, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 21,561$3,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,657.26 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Yandex | 79c | 8,234$6,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.9 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Virtus.pro | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 4,553$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.98 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Yandex | 80c | 3,991$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.35 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 3,629$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.15 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 3,027$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 2,250$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro | 17c | 2,170$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.29 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Virtus.pro | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Virtus.pro | 13c | 1,937$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.81 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 1,911$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 1,867$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.8 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Virtus.pro | 15c | 1,800$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Virtus.pro | 11c | 1,758$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.19 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Virtus.pro | 11c | 1,590$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.83 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…6407backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 1,363$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Yandex | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Virtus.pro | 13c | 1,139$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.33 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Virtus.pro | 22c | 1,020$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.32 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Virtus.pro | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Virtus.pro | 15c | 856.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.55 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Yandex | 76c | 791.86$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.05 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Virtus.pro | 16c | 757$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 752.38$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 749.06$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.58 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 705.14$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 577.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Virtus.pro | 13c | 537.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4260…7c04backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 475.42$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Team Yandex | 78c | 399$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 374.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 353$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Team Yandex | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked Virtus.pro | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 260$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 246$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…94c8backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 238$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 236$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Team Yandex | 78c | 229.67$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 229.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 206.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…223dbacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 169.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Yandex | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Virtus.pro | 13c | 126.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 112$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 110.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Virtus.pro | 15c | 109.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked Team Yandex | 79c | 107$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 102.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Virtus.pro | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Yandex | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Yandex | 78c | 99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Yandex | 77c | 98.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 88.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Virtus.pro | 14c | 81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 74.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Team Yandex | 79c | 70.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 66.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…0a15backed Team Yandex | 78c | 41.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf76e…3650backed Team Yandex | 78c | 35.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…b1c1backed Team Yandex | 78c | 33.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…9de3backed Team Yandex | 78c | 31.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Yandex | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Yandex | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31d9…e73dbacked Team Yandex | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Team Yandex | 77c | 14.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Yandex (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group DTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.