CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b5db6c4d9ff9c255f84f5e2908ed6823b406b16c3953559e72849e9b4561c97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof ShindeN, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed ShindeN | 32c | 974.47$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 73c | 941.81$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.62 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 70c | 776.98$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.01 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ShindeN | 34c | 701.25$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.5 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 74c | 675.87$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.21 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 58c | 373.43$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 49c | 330.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.62 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ShindeN | 32c | 315.62$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.33 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked ShindeN | 12c | 293.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ShindeN | 27c | 271.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 75c | 266.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed ShindeN | 25c | 264.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed ShindeN | 51c | 224.46$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.47 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…3080backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 68c | 216.71$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ShindeN | 48c | 215.92$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…a3ebbacked ShindeN | 35c | 197.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ShindeN | 14c | 187.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 77c | 177.33$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 49c | 149.27$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…b897backed ShindeN | 32c | 126.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked ShindeN | 17c | 114.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed ShindeN | 51c | 106$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed ShindeN | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 248 | 42.3%105 W · 143 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ShindeN | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 63c | 93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 108 | 67.6%73 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed ShindeN | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed ShindeN | 52c | 68.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…a700backed ShindeN | 33c | 63.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ShindeN | 26c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed ShindeN | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 79c | 60.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 55.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked ShindeN | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 72c | 42.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 80c | 41.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed ShindeN | 49c | 39.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 70c | 26.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked ShindeN | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…7b10backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 63c | 19.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 64c | 19.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsBounty Hunters Esports won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+1.5)Bounty Hunters Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.