CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cd2f73b9f44ebd9264d598ce05fc6224e3c23eff8e96537e41cebb0af02ea5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof Bebop, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Donstu Esports | 48c | 2,487$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.59 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Donstu Esports | 32c | 1,692$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.84 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…3bc8backed Donstu Esports | 30c | 1,653$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Bebop | 64c | 1,381$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.52 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Bebop | 61c | 1,250$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.57 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Bebop | 62c | 999.99$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.9 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Donstu Esports | 32c | 960.28$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.46 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed Donstu Esports | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Donstu Esports | 38c | 526.02$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.78 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Bebop | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bebop | 56c | 358.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.79 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bebop | 67c | 308.58$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Bebop | 67c | 277.45$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.33 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed Donstu Esports | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Bebop | 75c | 250$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Donstu Esports | 46c | 248.82$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.17 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bebop | 69c | 243$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Donstu Esports | 36c | 213.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Bebop | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Bebop | 78c | 193.68$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Bebop | 67c | 182.16$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bebop | 70c | 177.46$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bebop | 51c | 162$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bebop | 72c | 149.46$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Bebop | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Bebop | 60c | 141$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Bebop | 68c | 130.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Donstu Esports | 17c | 115.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Donstu Esports | 35c | 109.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa8…efa7backed Bebop | 67c | 109$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…7a70backed Donstu Esports | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 40%62 W · 93 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Donstu Esports | 28c | 99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Donstu Esports | 27c | 96.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Bebop | 65c | 95.43$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Donstu Esports | 24c | 93.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Bebop | 77c | 88.59$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Donstu Esports | 26c | 87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Donstu Esports | 28c | 81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bebop | 67c | 77.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Bebop | 64c | 77.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Donstu Esports | 24c | 70.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Bebop | 76c | 68.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Donstu Esports | 25c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed Donstu Esports | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Donstu Esports | 39c | 63.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Donstu Esports | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…179abacked Donstu Esports | 39c | 48.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Bebop | 78c | 48.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Donstu Esports | 23c | 46.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefd3…bed8backed Donstu Esports | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bebop | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed Bebop | 67c | 38.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Bebop | 70c | 36.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Donstu Esports | 30c | 36.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…9de3backed Bebop | 78c | 31.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…504bbacked Bebop | 78c | 31.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Bebop | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…a6e3backed Donstu Esports | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Bebop | 53c | 29.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bebop | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Bebop | 67c | 27.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…4f6ebacked Bebop | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked Bebop | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed Bebop | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ea…6063backed Bebop | 65c | 19.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Bebop | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Bebop | 71c | 14.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group CBebop won
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 WinnerDonstu Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.