CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1d8193786186ce8d583767271596937563456f3a775ccd98b1b3a624217c7eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donstu Esportsof Bebop, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bebop | 25c | 4,062$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.75 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed Bebop | 1c | 2,876$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Donstu Esports | 78c | 2,705$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.57 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bebop | 11c | 2,168$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.16 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Bebop | 16c | 2,000$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.79 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Donstu Esports | 74c | 1,896$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.64 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed Bebop | 2c | 1,800$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +183%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Bebop | 2c | 1,800$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +172.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bebop | 30c | 1,500$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.61 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Bebop | 12c | 1,121$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Donstu Esports | 78c | 1,011$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.63 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bebop | 4c | 766.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Donstu Esports | 66c | 702.4$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.96 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Donstu Esports | 71c | 684.08$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.65 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Bebop | 9c | 587$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 420 | 37.9%159 W · 261 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Donstu Esports | 64c | 481.35$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.43 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Bebop | 17c | 410.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Bebop | 33c | 408$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.8 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Bebop | 41c | 393.22$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.63 | 428 | 54.9%235 W · 193 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bebop | 24c | 354.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bebop | 15c | 319.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Bebop | 18c | 285.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Donstu Esports | 70c | 271.4$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Bebop | 25c | 253.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bebop | 26c | 243.12$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Bebop | 22c | 241.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Bebop | 24c | 217.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Donstu Esports | 67c | 204.28$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bebop | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Bebop | 20c | 191$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Donstu Esports | 78c | 179.83$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Donstu Esports | 70c | 157.59$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bebop | 14c | 155.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked Bebop | 8c | 144.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Donstu Esports | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bebop | 19c | 117.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bebop | 19c | 96.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Bebop | 15c | 91.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Donstu Esports | 79c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Bebop | 25c | 83.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 399 | 44.1%176 W · 223 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Donstu Esports | 76c | 78.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…3e7abacked Donstu Esports | 65c | 76.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Donstu Esports | 54c | 76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed Bebop | 25c | 73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Donstu Esports | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Donstu Esports | 78c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bebop | 21c | 50.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Bebop | 34c | 45.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Donstu Esports | 80c | 41.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Donstu Esports | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2d…6708backed Bebop | 40c | 39.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked Bebop | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 277 | 46.2%128 W · 149 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Donstu Esports | 79c | 25.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Donstu Esports | 70c | 22.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Donstu Esports | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Donstu Esports | 74c | 20.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…a6e3backed Donstu Esports | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Donstu Esports | 80c | 19.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed Donstu Esports | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Donstu Esports | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group CBebop won
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 WinnerBebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.