CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fc925c024a8ea55d12210c5da13136a2c34d1bef0860ab5de2127cab79bac44

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: K27of 3DMAX, K27
Resolved: Jul 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $80,924
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $105,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,924 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed 3DMAX	15c	9,974$1,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,454.28	1,407	38.9%547 W · 860 L	-41.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked 3DMAX	7c	2,574$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.77	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX	18c	2,252$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.94	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked K27	60c	2,181$1,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$877.26	224	49.6%111 W · 113 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked K27	57c	2,000$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$859.99	752	45.5%342 W · 410 L	-21.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed 3DMAX	66c	1,762$1,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,170	1,163	54.3%631 W · 532 L	-38.8wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bcb…398abacked K27	55c	1,618$884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$734.15	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked 3DMAX	32c	1,500$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.94	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX	46c	1,409$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$641.28	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 3DMAX	40c	1,341$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.18	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed 3DMAX	24c	1,222$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.76	610	34.3%209 W · 401 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked K27	58c	1,211$698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$513.11	384	54.2%208 W · 176 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60e…3f04backed K27	53c	930$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.1	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked K27	75c	916.59$691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.9	325	52.6%171 W · 154 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed 3DMAX	2c	899.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	383	12.8%49 W · 334 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed 3DMAX	22c	779$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.16	256	34.4%88 W · 168 L	-12.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed 3DMAX	40c	743$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.2	1,033	53.2%550 W · 483 L	+64.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed 3DMAX	41c	695.12$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	213	46.9%100 W · 113 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed K27	49c	608.67$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.01	463	45.6%211 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked 3DMAX	32c	598.69$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	302	36.8%111 W · 191 L	-12.4wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked K27	80c	510$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.86	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked 3DMAX	55c	499.98$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.99	195	46.2%90 W · 105 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed K27	73c	439.99$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.75	414	75.4%312 W · 102 L	+22.1wins	+0.05per pick	70cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed 3DMAX	4c	383.91$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.73	1,083	42.1%456 W · 627 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed 3DMAX	27c	370.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	131	47.3%62 W · 69 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed K27	74c	367.51$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.55	200	59%118 W · 82 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked 3DMAX	30c	338.58$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.04	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 3DMAX	5c	310.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.21	2,326	45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked 3DMAX	39c	310$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.9	197	41.6%82 W · 115 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed K27	45c	293.74$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.66	2,066	41.5%858 W · 1,208 L	-49.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked K27	49c	285$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.1	194	57.2%111 W · 83 L	+9.8wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed 3DMAX	52c	283.67$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.51	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked 3DMAX	11c	275$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.9	415	16.6%69 W · 346 L	-36.5wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 3DMAX	22c	259$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.39	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed K27	50c	254$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127	419	38.9%163 W · 256 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed K27	44c	250$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	292	46.9%137 W · 155 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed 3DMAX	5c	226.5$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.41	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed 3DMAX	55c	223.77$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.42	254	40.6%103 W · 151 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed 3DMAX	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	1,676	51.1%857 W · 819 L	+21.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288d…00eabacked 3DMAX	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked K27	12c	196.27$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.92	224	47.8%107 W · 117 L	+9.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed 3DMAX	52c	191.41$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.96	374	53.2%199 W · 175 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed 3DMAX	53c	188.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	538	50.6%272 W · 266 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed 3DMAX	6c	181.06$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	754	38.9%293 W · 461 L	-38.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed 3DMAX	48c	172.18$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.65	191	52.9%101 W · 90 L	+9.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed K27	46c	170$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.33	320	42.5%136 W · 184 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed 3DMAX	15c	160.65$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.1	499	41.7%208 W · 291 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed 3DMAX	56c	149.97$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.98	302	47%142 W · 160 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed 3DMAX	54c	148.15$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	603	58.5%353 W · 250 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked K27	65c	136.12$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.72	656	62.3%409 W · 247 L	+27.8wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed K27	69c	132.33$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.65	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec5…d471backed K27	47c	132.26$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.3	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed K27	47c	119.37$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.03	807	40.3%325 W · 482 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed K27	44c	117.6$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.86	858	51.6%443 W · 415 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked K27	69c	114.06$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.36	2,110	47.2%995 W · 1,115 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked K27	47c	110$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.3	334	59%197 W · 137 L	+24.3wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed K27	48c	103.94$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.94	367	49.3%181 W · 186 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked K27	74c	101.35$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.35	451	62.3%281 W · 170 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 3DMAX	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	619	48%297 W · 322 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…5762backed 3DMAX	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	170	54.7%93 W · 77 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed K27	80c	95$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.35	245	58%142 W · 103 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed 3DMAX	38c	92$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.96	163	49.1%80 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36a6…c85cbacked 3DMAX	23c	86.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	44cpaid	-69%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed 3DMAX	13c	85$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.39	420	57.1%240 W · 180 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked 3DMAX	26c	80$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.73	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3edb…11b8backed 3DMAX	27c	77.03$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.17	85	41.2%35 W · 50 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked 3DMAX	35c	75$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.25	503	58.6%295 W · 208 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked K27	58c	74.28$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.16	1,630	43.2%704 W · 926 L	-32.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked 3DMAX	39c	65$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.1	306	39.5%121 W · 185 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d7…a1ffbacked 3DMAX	30c	64$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.49	277	46.2%128 W · 149 L	-12.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed 3DMAX	50c	63.33$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.4	771	46%355 W · 416 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed 3DMAX	31c	54.18$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	870	47.9%417 W · 453 L	+15.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf62d…0435backed 3DMAX	35c	53.46$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.71	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked 3DMAX	40c	52.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	1,779	59.1%1,052 W · 727 L	+104.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf331…2489backed K27	59c	50.85$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.85	212	52.8%112 W · 100 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed 3DMAX	55c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	677	50.2%340 W · 337 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked 3DMAX	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	401	40.6%163 W · 238 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed K27	45c	44.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.44	593	54.8%325 W · 268 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed 3DMAX	35c	42.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	694	45%312 W · 382 L	-24.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed K27	71c	42.25$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	308	59.1%182 W · 126 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed K27	47c	41.7$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.23	272	48.9%133 W · 139 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f20…934fbacked K27	58c	39.98$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.79	324	63%204 W · 120 L	+17.4wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38e8…e69cbacked 3DMAX	53c	39.02$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.68	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.29per pick	57cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x177d…158abacked 3DMAX	41c	36.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	32	50%16 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked K27	44c	35$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.6	101	46.5%47 W · 54 L	+5.9wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed K27	45c	34.31$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.87	240	54.6%131 W · 109 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0010…c3a8backed K27	79c	28$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.88	316	73.7%233 W · 83 L	+23.6wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked K27	46c	25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.6	238	35.3%84 W · 154 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x444c…148dbacked K27	74c	14$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.64	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	70cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsK27 won
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)K27 won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event