CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39a56199fe84417ea447e9a98d4df5e9402ca3e214427ae97f046584d4a1086e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of 3DMAX, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked K27 | 71c | 2,344$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.26 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed K27 | 71c | 714.26$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 3DMAX | 29c | 645.97$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.11 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked 3DMAX | 28c | 538.27$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.72 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed 3DMAX | 28c | 448.29$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…5ce4backed K27 | 67c | 369.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed 3DMAX | 29c | 362.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed 3DMAX | 33c | 310.39$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed K27 | 67c | 303.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed 3DMAX | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed 3DMAX | 29c | 295.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed K27 | 70c | 285.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.72 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed K27 | 71c | 283.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked 3DMAX | 33c | 264.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked 3DMAX | 33c | 249.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked 3DMAX | 33c | 239.39$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed 3DMAX | 31c | 216.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed 3DMAX | 29c | 208.76$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked 3DMAX | 29c | 203.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked 3DMAX | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed 3DMAX | 33c | 169.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767f…533dbacked 3DMAX | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed 3DMAX | 30c | 120.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed 3DMAX | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked K27 | 67c | 108.59$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked 3DMAX | 32c | 93.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed K27 | 72c | 78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed 3DMAX | 33c | 71.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed K27 | 66c | 67.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 3DMAX | 19c | 65.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked K27 | 68c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed K27 | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed K27 | 70c | 49.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked K27 | 68c | 37.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e8…e69cbacked 3DMAX | 35c | 36.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…1ab5backed K27 | 70c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed K27 | 69c | 21.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked K27 | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 173 | 60.1%104 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsK27 won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.