Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaddacc919dbdf646885587fff2dd2967bc88b0c87f00ae3f014f8038597696f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Vici Gaming, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $631,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $756,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $631,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 70c | 34,935$24,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,555.39 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 25,888$7,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,237.9 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 22,589$11,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,158.14 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 21,903$6,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,459.82 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…4994backed Vici Gaming | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Spirit | 70c | 18,350$12,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,522.43 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 18,000$9,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,279.98 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 17,450$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,235.05 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Spirit | 75c | 15,688$11,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871.3 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 10,400$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.53 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 10,253$4,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121.17 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 70c | 9,499$6,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.69 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Spirit | 80c | 9,131$7,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.94 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Vici Gaming | 28c | 9,127$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.3 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Spirit | 70c | 8,500$5,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 8,295$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.83 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 7,383$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.41 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 7,094$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.89 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe44…05d9backed Team Spirit | 65c | 6,890$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Vici Gaming | 31c | 6,377$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.79 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 6,170$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.89 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Vici Gaming | 28c | 6,016$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.4 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Spirit | 57c | 5,723$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.73 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 5,556$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Vici Gaming | 29c | 5,432$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Spirit | 76c | 5,286$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.04 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 5,192$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.06 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 5,165$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.85 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Spirit | 79c | 5,000$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.49 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Vici Gaming | 10c | 4,599$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.36 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Spirit | 71c | 4,551$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.72 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 4,520$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.6 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 4,250$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 4,191$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.52 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit | 63c | 4,088$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.36 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Spirit | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Spirit | 79c | 4,000$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Spirit | 61c | 3,911$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.69 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Vici Gaming | 31c | 3,750$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.45 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 3,503$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.18 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Team Spirit | 70c | 3,333$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.9 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Vici Gaming | 24c | 3,007$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.66 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Vici Gaming | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 2,974$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.9 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 2,971$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.56 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Spirit | 63c | 2,954$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.64 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Vici Gaming | 46c | 2,949$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.24 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Vici Gaming | 6c | 2,913$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.86 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked Vici Gaming | 27c | 2,900$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.1 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 2,500$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Spirit | 70c | 2,500$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 2,462$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.53 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Vici Gaming | 6c | 2,352$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.09 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 2,175$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.65 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 2,171$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.99 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 2,103$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.48 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Spirit | 62c | 2,103$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.68 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Team Spirit | 71c | 2,012$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.16 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Vici Gaming | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Spirit | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed Team Spirit | 77c | 1,892$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.75 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Team Spirit | 65c | 1,860$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.2 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Spirit | 70c | 1,828$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.65 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 1,750$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 1,714$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.55 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 1,677$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.24 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 1,657$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.4 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Spirit | 67c | 1,618$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.83 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad1…cbb3backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 1,613$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Vici Gaming | 20c | 1,600$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Team Spirit | 57c | 1,580$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.92 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Vici Gaming | 22c | 1,509$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.97 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 68c | 1,502$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.44 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 1,500$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.71 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Team Spirit | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 1,500$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Vici Gaming | 21c | 1,424$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.24 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 1,413$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.48 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Vici Gaming | 21c | 1,378$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Spirit | 64c | 1,353$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.96 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 1,341$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.49 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Team Spirit | 70c | 1,300$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.2 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,278$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Spirit | 68c | 1,250$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Vici Gaming | 20c | 1,224$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,214$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 1,189$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 1,106$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.89 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Team Spirit | 72c | 1,093$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.29 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 1,086$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.98 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 1,041$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.2 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 1,040$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.13 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 1,014$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.83 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 1,005$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.61 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Spirit | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group CTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.