Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e99744a27958e545a41cfbc39ae4a6f85a2e9916e03e41b64a466709abb1e1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Vici Gaming, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 4,758$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.61 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Vici Gaming | 11c | 3,506$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.58 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Vici Gaming | 25c | 2,250$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.7 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 23c | 1,244$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.5 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vici Gaming | 15c | 1,219$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.7 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vici Gaming | 27c | 999.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 576.44$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6003backed Team Spirit | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Team Spirit | 71c | 500.41$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.79 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Spirit | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…67bcbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 440$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 426.61$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Vici Gaming | 11c | 386.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 435 | 60.5%263 W · 172 L | +43.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Spirit | 71c | 355.53$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.43 | 372 | 41.9%156 W · 216 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…2ef4backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 333.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Vici Gaming | 13c | 303.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…038cbacked Vici Gaming | 14c | 273.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Vici Gaming | 32c | 219.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…7179backed Team Spirit | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 171.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 135 | 51.9%70 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 167.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e0…6ec6backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 161.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 157.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Vici Gaming | 20c | 154.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Team Spirit | 72c | 154.22$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Spirit | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5396…6a3bbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 143.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Vici Gaming | 32c | 143.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 142.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Vici Gaming | 16c | 115.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 409 | 33%135 W · 274 L | -36.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…e406backed Vici Gaming | 11c | 103$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…0ea4backed Team Spirit | 78c | 102.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Vici Gaming | 27c | 102.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Vici Gaming | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Vici Gaming | 29c | 96.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…5277backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Team Spirit | 70c | 85.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Vici Gaming | 16c | 84.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed Vici Gaming | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 233 | 61.8%144 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Vici Gaming | 53c | 83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Vici Gaming | 30c | 70.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Vici Gaming | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 311 | 43.4%135 W · 176 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6a…5957backed Team Spirit | 48c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 62.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 421 | 60.1%253 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Vici Gaming | 28c | 55.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 524 | 50.8%266 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Vici Gaming | 26c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Team Spirit | 65c | 45.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 41.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…9d50backed Team Spirit | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Team Spirit | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Team Spirit | 73c | 22.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Team Spirit | 68c | 20.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…148dbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…2a83backed Team Spirit | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…39cfbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 18.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 177 | 63.8%113 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Team Spirit | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Cthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.