Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Lindorfitos vs x5 Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0df1cffb0b427805baf06c4858baa9edd849bd33d492b9fbbf76a1cd08ca9963
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- x5 Gamingof Lindorfitos, x5 Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Lindorfitos | 3c | 7,250$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Lindorfitos | 3c | 4,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked x5 Gaming | 68c | 2,409$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.74 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Lindorfitos | 50c | 1,649$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.73 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked x5 Gaming | 58c | 1,501$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.2 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed x5 Gaming | 52c | 1,110$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.34 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Lindorfitos | 50c | 928$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…9ed6backed Lindorfitos | 52c | 871.69$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked x5 Gaming | 46c | 869.4$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.07 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Lindorfitos | 36c | 827.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.47 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed x5 Gaming | 73c | 732.82$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.24 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Lindorfitos | 36c | 711.83$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.02 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed x5 Gaming | 52c | 586.46$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.66 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked x5 Gaming | 47c | 536.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.41 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed x5 Gaming | 76c | 521.84$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.07 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked x5 Gaming | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Lindorfitos | 48c | 499.99$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.49 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Lindorfitos | 56c | 499.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 581 | 56.6%329 W · 252 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed x5 Gaming | 42c | 472.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.55 | 479 | 53.9%258 W · 221 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Lindorfitos | 21c | 441.41$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Lindorfitos | 21c | 407.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Lindorfitos | 56c | 406.38$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.57 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Lindorfitos | 53c | 399.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed x5 Gaming | 54c | 381.77$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.46 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed x5 Gaming | 51c | 327$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.23 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked Lindorfitos | 63c | 235.09$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.97 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed x5 Gaming | 73c | 222.71$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…3c1abacked x5 Gaming | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…17aabacked Lindorfitos | 36c | 191.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked x5 Gaming | 44c | 181.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.66 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Lindorfitos | 21c | 171.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Lindorfitos | 65c | 154.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lindorfitos | 37c | 129.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Lindorfitos | 20c | 117.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lindorfitos | 41c | 115.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…48efbacked Lindorfitos | 45c | 109.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lindorfitos | 30c | 102.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Lindorfitos | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Lindorfitos | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed x5 Gaming | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Lindorfitos | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked x5 Gaming | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked x5 Gaming | 71c | 80.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked x5 Gaming | 43c | 79.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 402 | 42.3%170 W · 232 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Lindorfitos | 38c | 78.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed x5 Gaming | 67c | 73.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Lindorfitos | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Lindorfitos | 24c | 68.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Lindorfitos | 55c | 60.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…7a70backed Lindorfitos | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed x5 Gaming | 45c | 56.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Lindorfitos | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed x5 Gaming | 45c | 44.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4c…c8c6backed x5 Gaming | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked x5 Gaming | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 545 | 48.4%264 W · 281 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Lindorfitos | 55c | 38.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 381 | 59.1%225 W · 156 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…8c25backed Lindorfitos | 56c | 32.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed x5 Gaming | 45c | 32.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Lindorfitos | 40c | 28.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Lindorfitos | 45c | 26.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Lindorfitos | 49c | 26.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed x5 Gaming | 55c | 25.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lindorfitos | 59c | 24.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed x5 Gaming | 51c | 24.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 421 | 60.1%253 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed x5 Gaming | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Lindorfitos vs x5 Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Lindorfitos vs x5 Gaming (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsLindorfitos won
- Dota 2: Lindorfitos vs x5 Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLindorfitos won
- Game Handicap: Lindorfitos (-1.5) vs x5 Gaming (+1.5)x5 Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.