Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Lindorfitos vs x5 Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaffa82a72458494e5faa8a428aabfe715338a50265e798ff491f99d13990f45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lindorfitosof Lindorfitos, x5 Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Lindorfitos | 64c | 4,663$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.53 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked x5 Gaming | 47c | 1,153$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.53 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed x5 Gaming | 38c | 1,051$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.38 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked x5 Gaming | 41c | 1,001$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.84 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed x5 Gaming | 61c | 999.98$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.24 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Lindorfitos | 50c | 951.66$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.34 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa91a…ddacbacked Lindorfitos | 55c | 849.99$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed x5 Gaming | 46c | 670$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.2 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked x5 Gaming | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Lindorfitos | 53c | 604.08$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.8 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked x5 Gaming | 53c | 600$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.2 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked x5 Gaming | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Lindorfitos | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed x5 Gaming | 21c | 499.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc5…d86abacked x5 Gaming | 58c | 483.16$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed x5 Gaming | 66c | 454.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lindorfitos | 46c | 445.04$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.4 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed x5 Gaming | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Lindorfitos | 36c | 441.79$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.27 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked x5 Gaming | 50c | 430.77$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked x5 Gaming | 57c | 385.93$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.88 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed x5 Gaming | 48c | 383.74$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.3 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…74a7backed Lindorfitos | 59c | 373.23$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lindorfitos | 43c | 368.47$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.05 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Lindorfitos | 41c | 259.88$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.22 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Lindorfitos | 59c | 256$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.96 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Lindorfitos | 79c | 252.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed x5 Gaming | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked x5 Gaming | 53c | 249.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed x5 Gaming | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked x5 Gaming | 24c | 215.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed x5 Gaming | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed x5 Gaming | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked x5 Gaming | 19c | 166.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed x5 Gaming | 45c | 146.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked x5 Gaming | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Lindorfitos | 52c | 136.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed x5 Gaming | 59c | 115.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Lindorfitos | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed x5 Gaming | 37c | 86.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked x5 Gaming | 32c | 84.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Lindorfitos | 40c | 80.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed x5 Gaming | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed x5 Gaming | 49c | 72.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed x5 Gaming | 36c | 69.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lindorfitos | 52c | 69.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed x5 Gaming | 21c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Lindorfitos | 42c | 67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Lindorfitos | 42c | 67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Lindorfitos | 54c | 61.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lindorfitos | 48c | 57.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed x5 Gaming | 41c | 53.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked x5 Gaming | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed x5 Gaming | 45c | 45.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Lindorfitos | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked x5 Gaming | 39c | 44.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 128 | 60.9%78 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Lindorfitos | 58c | 36.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked x5 Gaming | 39c | 35.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Lindorfitos | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed x5 Gaming | 45c | 32.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked x5 Gaming | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Lindorfitos | 39c | 30.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed x5 Gaming | 38c | 29.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…9fcfbacked x5 Gaming | 57c | 19.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Lindorfitos vs x5 Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Lindorfitos vs x5 Gaming (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsLindorfitos won
- Dota 2: Lindorfitos vs x5 Gaming - Game 1 Winnerx5 Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Lindorfitos (-1.5) vs x5 Gaming (+1.5)x5 Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.