TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,133 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over66c3,122$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.641,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under37c3,070$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.925,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6fd…30f0backed Over63c2,977$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.38951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over47c2,925$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.988938.2%34 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Under52c1,910$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.61656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over63c1,345$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.6664852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Over44c1,306$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.6417250.6%87 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Under56c1,208$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.645058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over41c1,069$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.922,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe062…f949backed Under55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4504452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under37c754.27$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.882,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Over65c751.65$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.5765546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over26c617.8$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6310737.4%40 W · 67 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0354…2913backed Under63c611.72$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.2413540.7%55 W · 80 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0d…5a51backed Under73c533.16$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.272055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e9…b13abacked Over62c499.97$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.9819954.3%108 W · 91 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Under52c475$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22938312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Under71c463.11$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.0829052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab71…2adabacked Under56c457.21$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.175952.5%31 W · 28 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked Under52c362.57$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.919747.2%93 W · 104 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over68c326.85$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.8437149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x059e…54d1backed Under66c325.84$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.415955.9%33 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over63c312.59$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9339038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba10…bf97backed Over65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021644.4%96 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x973f…4b3ebacked Over49c307.32$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae7c…6d3bbacked Under35c299.98$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.99560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+107.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under37c298.1$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.82,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over62c288.08$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.381244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over58c284.64$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.867,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…34fabacked Under59c280.97$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.23447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked Over43c280.06$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4420248%97 W · 105 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfec…b0edbacked Under37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.276145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2fe…695dbacked Under38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1614940.3%60 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e8…9a67backed Under55c257.16$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.81855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Under54c250$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Under69c245.33$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0520251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e67…8b45backed Under38c236.58$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6812252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed Over63c204.76$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1298061.3%49 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9420353.2%108 W · 95 L+1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Over42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8413351.1%68 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab1a…4620backed Under58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8411451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Over59c193.11$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11326443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfad0…490fbacked Over64c183.77$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.612433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7abd…b5c9backed Under57c175.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Over64c173.82$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7216853.6%90 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc913…c637backed Over36c158.52$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.13580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83ba…2404backed Under58c157.29$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0421856%122 W · 96 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9613053.8%70 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Under57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.530748.9%150 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Under37c149.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4958254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked Under74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.144481.8%36 W · 8 L+6.5wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed Under38c125.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1114443.1%62 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over36c123.52$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.481,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e6f…7248backed Over49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Over66c116$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5613441.8%56 W · 78 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over60c115.94$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.431,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f0d…9115backed Under39c115.38$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.385771.9%41 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Under38c113.15$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1544343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cee…bd00backed Over60c110$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Under45c108.61$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.343,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over29c106.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316428.1%18 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over41c104.24$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5445238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f2a…e0d7backed Under47c103.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3321141.7%88 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…2d79backed Under58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.452259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over63c101.59$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6450%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked Under65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3538157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Under41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5940558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a1e…c023backed Under39c99.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6118148.6%88 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Under34c99.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9935861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7272backed Under70c99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.72661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac42…60d1backed Over54c98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.923132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Under54c93.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.367647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Under49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.933354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5063541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under48c79.62$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.623,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under46c79.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2710541%43 W · 62 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4009…f2b4backed Under40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc86b…c364backed Over63c71.06$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.772934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.36750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa889…ebcdbacked Over63c68.25$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4319256.8%109 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7d9…c572backed Over63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018750.8%95 W · 92 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5fa…6758backed Over64c62.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405942.4%25 W · 34 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7f4a…43abbacked Under56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.518451.1%94 W · 90 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a65…5864backed Over59c61.02$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under50c60.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.24,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd36…873bbacked Over65c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3924648.8%120 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a40…f518backed Under57c56.46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.461353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0762…30e7backed Under38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6318042.2%76 W · 104 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Under38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6346042.8%197 W · 263 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under37c51.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7520055%110 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…29ebbacked Under39c51.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.71752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe74d…f5c4backed Under39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2810155.4%56 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under36c51.11$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7180740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a0…db2ebacked Under72c50.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.29683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.538848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa379…5047backed Over61c49.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f22…9d96backed Under39c48.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.725450%27 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…65c5backed Under50c48.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.35156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb922…1d3ebacked Over62c45.73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.55056%28 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3894…87a3backed Under46c43.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.072334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.