MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba1896cc763a9d3b26f1c557253c28a63b09d5a0307eb58a6e5b893f62e4881c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,054,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,133,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,054,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 460 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Houston Astros | 35c | 315,876$110,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,556.73 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Houston Astros | 36c | 256,125$93,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,204.03 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 240,000$156,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,000 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 77,267$29,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,953.52 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 60,771$39,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,277.53 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 54,900$34,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,035 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 54,816$35,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,202.02 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 53,038$34,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,263.28 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 37,813$24,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,889.82 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 31,385$20,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,157.7 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 29,668$18,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,553.34 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 24,644$15,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,534.16 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Houston Astros | 36c | 19,444$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 16,316$10,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800.79 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 15,371$9,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,612.29 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Houston Astros | 35c | 14,632$5,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,121.2 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 44c | 14,577$6,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,437.71 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Houston Astros | 35c | 11,443$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005.05 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 11,084$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,768.74 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 19c | 10,263$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.41 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Houston Astros | 14c | 9,356$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.06 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 8,971$5,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.47 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 8,924$5,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.74 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 8,552$5,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130.36 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 7,936$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.32 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 7,035$3,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,136.45 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 6,994$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.64 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c6b0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 6,828$4,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.96 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 6,826$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.94 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 6,241$3,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.27 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 4,702$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.61 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Houston Astros | 45c | 4,613$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.6 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 4,229$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.13 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Houston Astros | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.99 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 3,866$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Houston Astros | 36c | 3,600$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Houston Astros | 37c | 3,070$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.05 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 3,002$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.71 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Houston Astros | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Houston Astros | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 2,881$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.48 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 2,727$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.78 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 2,620$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.63 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 2,482$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.14 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 2,416$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.08 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 71c | 2,246$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.65 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Houston Astros | 45c | 2,234$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.67 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Houston Astros | 45c | 2,217$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.94 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 2,000$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415a…cea5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 1,883$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 1,798$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.6 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Houston Astros | 34c | 1,654$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.36 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Houston Astros | 37c | 1,618$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.91 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,596$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.32 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,593$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.33 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 1,584$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.98 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Houston Astros | 34c | 1,546$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.98 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 1,508$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.93 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Houston Astros | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.98 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 1,462$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.2 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 35c | 1,452$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.98 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Houston Astros | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.15 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,406$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.27 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Houston Astros | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Houston Astros | 34c | 1,360$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.33 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Houston Astros | 35c | 1,348$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.73 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf518…07bcbacked Houston Astros | 37c | 1,312$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.08 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 1,261$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.11 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 1,225$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.5 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 38c | 1,205$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.79 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 1,150$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.09 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,145$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.8 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.88 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…3c0cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,100$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.87 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 72c | 1,047$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.29 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Houston Astros | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.08 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1f…6465backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 1,001$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Houston Astros | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.61 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Houston Astros | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…f908backed Houston Astros | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 999.97$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 901.58$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.98 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Houston Astros | 46c | 875.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.51 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 833$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 819$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.44 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 800.33$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.33 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 779.99$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…3216backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 2.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 4.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.