MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e9e0681d16f02935d4fd101ebc5faf20a1744e63863369d694e8597a5e5dc07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Houston Astros | 49c | 98,224$48,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,129.58 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 31,200$15,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,288 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 24,959$12,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,229.91 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 23,252$12,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,217.48 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 20,619$10,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,010.28 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 17,631$8,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,639.19 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Houston Astros | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.96 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Houston Astros | 49c | 6,002$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.47 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Houston Astros | 49c | 4,715$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.26 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 4,247$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.03 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 48c | 4,185$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.59 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 3,972$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.57 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Houston Astros | 50c | 3,792$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.12 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 3,089$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.79 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Houston Astros | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Houston Astros | 54c | 2,222$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.06 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 1,582$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.16 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…2f33backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 48c | 1,500$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.33 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…f03dbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 1,052$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.12 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…0fe6backed Houston Astros | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Houston Astros | 30c | 978.61$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.57 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 922.26$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.35 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 857.69$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.69 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 37c | 818.05$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.82 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Houston Astros | 27c | 725.7$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.94 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Houston Astros | 27c | 725.7$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.94 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 37c | 634.37$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.62 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 543$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.22 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 504.58$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.18 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…3216backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 464.27$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.53 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Houston Astros | 47c | 456.24$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.43 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 451.51$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.21 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 432$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Houston Astros | 48c | 299.72$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.82 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 294.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.11 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 284.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.15 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 269.65$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Houston Astros | 49c | 260.48$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Houston Astros | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 215.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.03 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Houston Astros | 36c | 211.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 202.94$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.38 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…81cebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 192$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Houston Astros | 39c | 191.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 174.89$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 174.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.33 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Houston Astros | 47c | 155$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 149.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 144.67$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 142.08$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Houston Astros | 27c | 140.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Houston Astros | 52c | 140.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 138.27$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Houston Astros | 49c | 135$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…af3cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 112.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 108.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…dda4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 83.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Houston Astros | 48c | 82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 81.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Houston Astros | 21c | 74.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 68.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…fd16backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Houston Astros | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 326 | 47.9%156 W · 170 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Houston Astros | 38c | 52.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 51.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7884…1fb0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Houston Astros | 44c | 49.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb6…d381backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 43.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Houston Astros | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ca…b3f3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 58cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 39.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2a…8dbdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 37.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad60…bbe5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Houston Astros | 42c | 35.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Houston Astros | 36c | 34.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1,013 | 50.3%510 W · 503 L | +51.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 31.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston AstrosMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 2.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 4.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.