Tennis · resolved market
Wuxi: Ognjen Milic vs Yunchaokete Bu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0e7799dc509d19c8165500dd488bde4d442d19c69672a5e4ad6a932bdac7e90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yunchaokete Buof Ognjen Milic, Yunchaokete Bu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ognjen Milic | 13c | 5,530$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.59 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ognjen Milic | 17c | 3,171$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.52 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yunchaokete Bu | 79c | 3,075$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ognjen Milic | 11c | 2,852$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.67 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Ognjen Milic | 9c | 1,878$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.79 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Ognjen Milic | 20c | 1,012$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b61…a7bcbacked Ognjen Milic | 8c | 681.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ognjen Milic | 8c | 665.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Ognjen Milic | 19c | 661.5$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Ognjen Milic | 10c | 615.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…edabbacked Ognjen Milic | 13c | 588.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…5f86backed Ognjen Milic | 13c | 331.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ognjen Milic | 18c | 315.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…224dbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Ognjen Milic | 20c | 286.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Ognjen Milic | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Ognjen Milic | 17c | 210.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Ognjen Milic | 20c | 150.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Ognjen Milic | 20c | 150.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ognjen Milic | 10c | 132.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Ognjen Milic | 17c | 128.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Yunchaokete Bu | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Ognjen Milic | 23c | 108$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 96 | 28.1%27 W · 69 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yunchaokete Bu | 80c | 76.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Yunchaokete Bu | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Yunchaokete Bu | 77c | 69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Yunchaokete Bu | 77c | 60.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yunchaokete Bu | 80c | 59.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yunchaokete Bu | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeab…4997backed Ognjen Milic | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…9c42backed Yunchaokete Bu | 80c | 26.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Yunchaokete Bu | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yunchaokete Bu | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yunchaokete Bu | 74c | 17.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -8.0wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuxi: Ognjen Milic vs Yunchaokete Buthis page
- Milic vs. Bu: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.