MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f1022c621ab86203b76543fc6856e8208182bd3f93c88d1cb8625a0560a7a1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 52c | 16,855$8,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,844.93 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Houston Astros | 22c | 15,000$3,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266.99 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 42c | 11,632$4,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,927.9 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 8,939$4,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,655.42 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Houston Astros | 13c | 7,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 64c | 4,831$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.79 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 57c | 4,356$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.02 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 24c | 4,175$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.53 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 59c | 3,448$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.41 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Houston Astros | 32c | 3,078$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.66 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 2,865$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.24 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Houston Astros | 17c | 2,668$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.88 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,653$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.06 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 31c | 2,330$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.43 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 2,220$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.98 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 1,893$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.38 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,868$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.45 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 55c | 1,774$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.7 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,683$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.07 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,673$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.97 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 1,659$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.28 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b46…7437backed Houston Astros | 21c | 1,574$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Houston Astros | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 1,500$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.46 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Houston Astros | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.91 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,146$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.48 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 1,135$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.51 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Houston Astros | 52c | 985.77$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.6 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 62c | 955.14$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.64 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…96ddbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 923.77$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.6 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 899.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.99 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 872.26$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.06 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Houston Astros | 69c | 800$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 780.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.11 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Houston Astros | 52c | 765$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.8 | 452 | 53.8%243 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb1…95b6backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 751$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 20c | 664.7$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.51 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 636.92$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.76 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 616.7$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.94 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Houston Astros | 2c | 599.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 590.77$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.83 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 585$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.05 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 580.04$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.16 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 555.25$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.94 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Houston Astros | 40c | 499.78$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.06 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Houston Astros | 63c | 484.31$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.95 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 481.41$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.56 | 616 | 46.4%286 W · 330 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Houston Astros | 42c | 478.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.13 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Houston Astros | 63c | 455.26$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.8 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 455$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.9 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Houston Astros | 73c | 410.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 56c | 389.08$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.13 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Houston Astros | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 378$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.56 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Houston Astros | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Houston Astros | 75c | 365.84$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.5 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 28c | 362.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.18 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 358.68$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.79 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Houston Astros | 18c | 353.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Houston Astros | 69c | 346.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.27 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Houston Astros | 55c | 338.86$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.92 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Houston Astros | 52c | 332.69$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 319.26$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Houston Astros | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Houston Astros | 52c | 293.13$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.43 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Houston Astros | 37c | 289$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 287.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 266.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.71 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Houston Astros | 46c | 260.61$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Houston Astros | 44c | 248.81$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Houston Astros | 35c | 225.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Houston Astros | 27c | 215.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Houston Astros | 53c | 203.77$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 201$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 199.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.78 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…57b7backed Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 193.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 130 | 76.2%99 W · 31 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Houston Astros | 54c | 189.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…08bebacked Houston Astros | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 178.09$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 170.81$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Houston Astros | 28c | 168$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 405 | 43.5%176 W · 229 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 163.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.24 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 709 | 50.1%355 W · 354 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Houston Astros | 48c | 149.74$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Houston Astros | 49c | 149$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.01 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Houston Astros | 60c | 145$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 48c | 144.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Houston Astros | 60c | 140$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…016abacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 138.42$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…c19abacked Houston Astros | 53c | 137.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Houston Astros | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…6e63backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 132.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.