TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corpof NRG, Karmine Corp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,304
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$244,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,304 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Karmine Corp40c24,392$9,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,635.3524145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked Karmine Corp51c15,905$8,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,861.7212155.4%67 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked NRG61c15,000$9,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,149.974542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed NRG60c12,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2001241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick66cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed Karmine Corp60c9,876$5,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,977.7810566.7%70 W · 35 L+10.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed NRG68c9,380$6,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,378.436462.5%40 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed NRG60c8,267$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,960.0754751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Karmine Corp58c7,735$4,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,228.9226650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5789…6407backed Karmine Corp39c3,590$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.741540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Karmine Corp40c3,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.993243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked NRG21c3,247$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.5250944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Karmine Corp74c2,852$2,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.361,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed NRG44c2,770$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2111225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed NRG64c2,530$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61914941.6%62 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed NRG60c2,494$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.6119546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed NRG63c2,180$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.471650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b17…672ebacked NRG63c2,079$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Karmine Corp39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.9986747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Karmine Corp51c1,681$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.0494361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked NRG8c1,589$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1285556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54a1…f88bbacked Karmine Corp70c1,557$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.378936%32 W · 57 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed Karmine Corp39c1,556$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.454156.1%23 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+39.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Karmine Corp37c1,450$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.4921055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed NRG35c1,278$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.123650%18 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NRG38c1,237$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.4388844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked NRG60c896.48$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.8930652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e44…affebacked NRG12c838.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002850%14 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+135.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed NRG50c838.09$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.3514938.3%57 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7361…2a8dbacked NRG13c815.86$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed NRG37c801.28$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019656.6%111 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Karmine Corp41c786.37$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.2693049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec71…4858backed NRG63c778.33$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf7…9907backed NRG21c769.26$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.863928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed NRG65c740.05$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.3463955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Karmine Corp70c725.23$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.011,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed NRG29c714.62$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9540945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed NRG10c700$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7232245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5220…96ddbacked NRG58c682.51$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.6170%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed Karmine Corp69c656.28$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.283240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe767…9107backed Karmine Corp46c647.63$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.636755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed Karmine Corp40c633.64$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.9623151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed NRG60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36053442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Karmine Corp54c589.27$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.221,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked Karmine Corp37c580.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.033855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Karmine Corp42c561.03$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.45058%29 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp72c559.1$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.621,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Karmine Corp40c552.94$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.8822449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb819…cc67backed NRG52c540.27$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed NRG71c507.32$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36019847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Karmine Corp37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31541734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Karmine Corp35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3256048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Karmine Corp36c499.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32032047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x152d…1b20backed NRG64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed NRG37c412.55$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8251749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed NRG51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.918049.4%89 W · 91 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked NRG7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed NRG47c379.96$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.881553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c5…6394backed NRG21c368.95$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.53616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-70.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Karmine Corp37c364$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed NRG62c350.29$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2162853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed NRG62c333$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.463138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Karmine Corp79c327.52$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3177744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5077…4956backed NRG51c307.5$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Karmine Corp78c303.48$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1942140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed NRG63c301.59$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903450%17 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Karmine Corp39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1833938.5%15 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked NRG42c293.58$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3696245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Karmine Corp50c288.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.556551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed NRG64c282.23$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.25352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Karmine Corp36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7810225.5%26 W · 76 L-10.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Karmine Corp78c267.97$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4157151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked NRG33c263.32$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.936442.2%27 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed NRG24c256.01$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.481,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed NRG62c255$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.128541.1%117 W · 168 L-26.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed NRG58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14521457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda86…6ff9backed NRG60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed NRG5c245.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8310217.6%18 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed Karmine Corp42c231.08$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.291560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ffa…7710backed NRG10c205.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.543633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked NRG67c203.88$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.62450%12 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8cc…661ebacked Karmine Corp37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1265660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed NRG63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12643059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked NRG12c194.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2410628.3%30 W · 76 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed NRG64c192.19$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12334253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Karmine Corp37c191.33$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9813043.8%57 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked Karmine Corp48c178$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Karmine Corp78c168.1$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6533838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked NRG60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012856.3%72 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Karmine Corp37c160$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.817349.7%86 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked NRG64c157.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10062856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb1…f700backed NRG64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Karmine Corp38c155.26$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2636145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Karmine Corp76c152.61$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5123644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed Karmine Corp49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.59540%38 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb02…c292backed NRG61c150$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Karmine Corp67c149.36$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5874642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7d…fc3dbacked Karmine Corp39c147.11$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.98540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked NRG16c138.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4684838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked NRG63c136.27$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.858848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a41…20bdbacked Karmine Corp39c128.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7212250%61 W · 61 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.