Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8510f75c15c8f3516cae16ef0768aa6e12e9cc7d16669e77ea984b8778dc9012
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 47c | 1,184$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.43 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 46c | 1,141$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.2 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Under | 53c | 945.28$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Under | 53c | 802.5$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.28 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Over | 46c | 606.3$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.4 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 54c | 509.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.39 | 136 | 61%83 W · 53 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Over | 47c | 450$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 46c | 268.57$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.03 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Under | 6c | 249.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Under | 54c | 170.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Under | 53c | 116.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…b250backed Under | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 54c | 82.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Under | 54c | 44.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 64c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…81d1backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Over | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Under | 53c | 32.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Under | 53c | 28.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 54c | 19.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)NRG won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BNRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.