Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1618da0cfb167f8e03b225abf231a7228797a20e37c5761a723f14f6062ac6be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 28,925$10,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,952.63 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked NRG | 62c | 26,821$16,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,191.81 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Karmine Corp | 22c | 1,616$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.75 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed NRG | 78c | 1,576$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.61 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NRG | 79c | 1,505$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.54 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked Karmine Corp | 14c | 1,494$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked NRG | 76c | 1,151$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.63 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe767…9107backed NRG | 71c | 1,106$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.16 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 984.3$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.84 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Karmine Corp | 30c | 797.77$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.62 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 714.99$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.4 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Karmine Corp | 3c | 510.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 513 | 44.6%229 W · 284 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed NRG | 62c | 500.1$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.04 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cc…661ebacked NRG | 65c | 474.83$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.19 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x152d…1b20backed NRG | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Karmine Corp | 14c | 428.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG | 64c | 369.14$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 350$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed NRG | 80c | 326.51$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed NRG | 63c | 302.5$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.92 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Karmine Corp | 23c | 284.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 364 | 46.2%168 W · 196 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Karmine Corp | 37c | 268.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed NRG | 63c | 262.33$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.82 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked NRG | 65c | 253.85$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 630 | 56.3%355 W · 275 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Karmine Corp | 10c | 241.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed NRG | 65c | 232.82$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…6ff9backed Karmine Corp | 32c | 204.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…fc3dbacked Karmine Corp | 14c | 180.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed NRG | 62c | 176$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed NRG | 65c | 153.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 348 | 53.7%187 W · 161 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Karmine Corp | 16c | 150.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked NRG | 62c | 149.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…315ebacked Karmine Corp | 9c | 144.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed NRG | 63c | 141.27$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Karmine Corp | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…755fbacked Karmine Corp | 27c | 115.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed NRG | 64c | 112.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Karmine Corp | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed NRG | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…fdbbbacked NRG | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…4593backed NRG | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked NRG | 64c | 93.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Karmine Corp | 30c | 82.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…ed08backed Karmine Corp | 19c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Karmine Corp | 17c | 75.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Karmine Corp | 15c | 72.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…00eabacked Karmine Corp | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…bdebbacked Karmine Corp | 21c | 66.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed NRG | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…a638backed Karmine Corp | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NRG | 74c | 57.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Karmine Corp | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…9932backed NRG | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed NRG | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 31.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed NRG | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NRG | 77c | 21.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdab…b50bbacked NRG | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)NRG won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BNRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.