Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29d314cd5f9129d4e444c758bf4977f6b191d6620885a3962820e698758a4c43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof NRG, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Karmine Corp | 58c | 3,813$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.8 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Karmine Corp | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked NRG | 40c | 1,937$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.95 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG | 41c | 1,850$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.5 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Karmine Corp | 59c | 919.04$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked NRG | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed NRG | 43c | 527.22$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.7 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed NRG | 43c | 370$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked NRG | 43c | 359.02$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.38 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Karmine Corp | 57c | 261.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.14 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked NRG | 42c | 258.93$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed NRG | 52c | 241.35$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.83 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Karmine Corp | 58c | 233.91$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 136 | 61%83 W · 53 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed NRG | 39c | 208.19$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Karmine Corp | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 193.23$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed NRG | 43c | 185$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed NRG | 42c | 185$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked NRG | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 158 | 42.4%67 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed NRG | 43c | 167.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Karmine Corp | 61c | 163.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed NRG | 41c | 158.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed NRG | 62c | 158.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked NRG | 39c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed NRG | 53c | 135.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…2379backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 128.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked NRG | 39c | 114.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Karmine Corp | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked NRG | 41c | 92.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed NRG | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked NRG | 44c | 73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3b51backed NRG | 41c | 65.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked NRG | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed NRG | 43c | 58.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed NRG | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked NRG | 52c | 36.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Karmine Corp | 60c | 33.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…d785backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed NRG | 50c | 29.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed NRG | 43c | 28.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed NRG | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Karmine Corp | 58c | 20.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)NRG won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Under won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Under won
- Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BNRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.