Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a82cbfaf81c7420a4f2b10ada29fa96cebe833b61480e4db77397cd640c5f2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jacob Fearnleyof Jacob Fearnley, Adrian Mannarino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $277,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Adrian Mannarino | 40c | 41,554$16,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,447.23 | 732 | 39.5%289 W · 443 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jacob Fearnley | 76c | 32,387$24,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,879.28 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…985bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 12,630$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Adrian Mannarino | 24c | 10,000$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390 | 361 | 49.6%179 W · 182 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Jacob Fearnley | 71c | 9,888$7,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.2 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Jacob Fearnley | 72c | 9,059$6,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.16 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Jacob Fearnley | 69c | 8,718$6,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.05 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Adrian Mannarino | 35c | 8,693$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.23 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Adrian Mannarino | 33c | 8,480$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.55 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 39c | 7,495$2,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,931.29 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a1…bf4bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 41c | 6,667$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.32 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Jacob Fearnley | 61c | 6,356$3,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.03 | 644 | 55.3%356 W · 288 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jacob Fearnley | 65c | 5,580$3,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.35 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Adrian Mannarino | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Jacob Fearnley | 61c | 4,565$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.48 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd575…e017backed Jacob Fearnley | 72c | 3,772$2,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.1 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jacob Fearnley | 60c | 3,612$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.57 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Jacob Fearnley | 59c | 3,461$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.9 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Adrian Mannarino | 27c | 2,774$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.7 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Jacob Fearnley | 71c | 2,731$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.97 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Jacob Fearnley | 70c | 2,566$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.32 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Jacob Fearnley | 60c | 2,460$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.95 | 647 | 53.9%349 W · 298 L | +32.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…3ba2backed Adrian Mannarino | 19c | 2,207$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.37 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Jacob Fearnley | 62c | 1,603$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.39 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Adrian Mannarino | 44c | 1,479$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.88 | 435 | 47.4%206 W · 229 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…ae18backed Jacob Fearnley | 70c | 1,438$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.57 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dc…589fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 1,182$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Adrian Mannarino | 27c | 1,115$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 530 | 44.9%238 W · 292 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Adrian Mannarino | 5c | 1,110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 1,773 | 48.6%861 W · 912 L | +28.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Jacob Fearnley | 61c | 1,011$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.16 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 40c | 999.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jacob Fearnley | 62c | 970.32$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.59 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…6192backed Adrian Mannarino | 1c | 964.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…30f2backed Jacob Fearnley | 70c | 798.09$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.23 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Jacob Fearnley | 72c | 684.05$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.02 | 1,001 | 54.9%550 W · 451 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…ae17backed Adrian Mannarino | 44c | 677$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Jacob Fearnley | 56c | 673.19$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.2 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…f4f1backed Adrian Mannarino | 41c | 655.44$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.73 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b08…053bbacked Jacob Fearnley | 62c | 580$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 25c | 575.93$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.71 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Adrian Mannarino | 40c | 557.5$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.71 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Jacob Fearnley | 59c | 553.46$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.92 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Jacob Fearnley | 59c | 507$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.87 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Adrian Mannarino | 39c | 500.21$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 350 | 38.3%134 W · 216 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e54…e773backed Jacob Fearnley | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Adrian Mannarino | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,013 | 50.1%508 W · 505 L | +36.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Jacob Fearnley | 60c | 491.8$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.72 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Jacob Fearnley | 60c | 491.8$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.72 | 488 | 47.1%230 W · 258 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Jacob Fearnley | 60c | 489.72$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.89 | 1,692 | 48.8%826 W · 866 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…c1f8backed Adrian Mannarino | 6c | 475.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedde…5db2backed Adrian Mannarino | 15c | 473.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Adrian Mannarino | 22c | 427.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 2,025 | 46.9%950 W · 1,075 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5923…04b8backed Jacob Fearnley | 60c | 409.83$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.93 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…064ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 397.37$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -16.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Adrian Mannarino | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,178 | 52.4%617 W · 561 L | +27.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Jacob Fearnley | 75c | 359.95$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.85 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Adrian Mannarino | 39c | 356.46$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 23c | 325.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Adrian Mannarino | 35c | 312.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…9450backed Jacob Fearnley | 60c | 306.12$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.45 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Adrian Mannarino | 40c | 293.65$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.46 | 1,638 | 48.2%789 W · 849 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…5422backed Adrian Mannarino | 35c | 277.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 276.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 1,013 | 36.5%370 W · 643 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…c19abacked Jacob Fearnley | 61c | 262.08$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.21 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Jacob Fearnley | 61c | 246.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Jacob Fearnley | 60c | 245.9$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.36 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…d87cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Adrian Mannarino | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Jacob Fearnley | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 180 | 55.6%100 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Jacob Fearnley | 66c | 236$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…a04fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 37c | 235.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Jacob Fearnley | 68c | 211.97$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 181 | 58.6%106 W · 75 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07b…6ee4backed Adrian Mannarino | 7c | 211.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Jacob Fearnley | 71c | 209.11$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Adrian Mannarino | 40c | 200.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 121 | 25.6%31 W · 90 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Jacob Fearnley | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Jacob Fearnley | 72c | 199.97$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 1,657 | 44.2%733 W · 924 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Adrian Mannarino | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jacob Fearnley | 72c | 165.21$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…dde4backed Adrian Mannarino | 40c | 163.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Adrian Mannarino | 30c | 162.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 355 | 40.3%143 W · 212 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Adrian Mannarino | 36c | 161.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Adrian Mannarino | 17c | 158.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 642 | 40.2%258 W · 384 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Jacob Fearnley | 72c | 156.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 145.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2,238 | 52.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L | +80.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Jacob Fearnley | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 2,056 | 59.5%1,224 W · 832 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Adrian Mannarino | 39c | 126$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Adrian Mannarino | 39c | 125.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b96…cea8backed Adrian Mannarino | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Adrian Mannarino | 40c | 124.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Adrian Mannarino | 24c | 124.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Jacob Fearnley | 60c | 121.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Adrian Mannarino | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Adrian Mannarino | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6e…1256backed Adrian Mannarino | 40c | 119.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Jacob Fearnley | 61c | 117.62$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Adrian Mannarino | 40c | 114.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Adrian Mannarino | 18c | 112.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 424 | 36.6%155 W · 269 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Jacob Fearnley | 67c | 111.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarinothis page
- Fearnley vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Fearnley vs MannarinoFearnley won
- Set Handicap: Fearnley (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)Fearnley won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.