Fifa International · resolved market
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x811814b6b228489869e9c2c81c7980cd6d59a20f12a6cfb034a3d744536bce4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 18c | 8,248$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.37 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 20c | 5,458$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.58 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Yes | 22c | 4,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +319.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 77c | 4,257$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.15 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 4,181$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.77 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 23c | 2,900$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 76c | 2,400$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 78c | 2,120$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.38 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 18c | 2,008$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.68 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69d…a199backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed No | 79c | 1,728$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.94 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 75c | 1,562$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.17 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,412$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.54 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 76c | 1,200$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.99 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…ab75backed Yes | 21c | 999.02$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 20c | 838$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.88 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 73c | 788$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.76 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No | 72c | 738$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.39 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 703.15$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.59 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 671.37$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.29 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4684backed No | 72c | 600$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 19c | 433$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 16c | 428$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e90…4782backed Yes | 7c | 339.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c9…4c22backed Yes | 21c | 252.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 19c | 234.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 78c | 210$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 78c | 170$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d74…04a3backed Yes | 22c | 168.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 9c | 150.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…0adebacked Yes | 20c | 119.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 22c | 113.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…d38bbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 29c | 103.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Yes | 23c | 88.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 25c | 80.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…9c8bbacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaeb…4a50backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 14.9%10 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 66.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 69c | 58.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d3…cae1backed Yes | 21c | 58.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 73c | 52.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 74c | 37.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x049b…5262backed No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…4a47backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 80c | 17.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 73c | 14.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 68. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsYes won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsYes won
- Breel Embolo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Breel Embolo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 2+ shotsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 3+ shotsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 5+ shotsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ goalsYes won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Dan Ndoye: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 2+ shotsYes won
- Dan Ndoye: 3+ shotsYes won
- Denis Zakaria: 1+ shotsYes won
- Denis Zakaria: 2+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 3+ shotsNo won
- Fabian Rieder: 1+ goalsNo won
- Facundo Medina: 2+ shotsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 3+ goalsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 1+ assistsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 1+ shotsYes won
- Granit Xhaka: 2+ goalsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 2+ shotsYes won
- Granit Xhaka: 3+ shotsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ assistsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsYes won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shotsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 2+ shotsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 3+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Paredes: 1+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Paredes: 2+ shotsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsYes won
- Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lisandro Martínez: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lisandro Martínez: 2+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.