Fifa International · resolved market
Breel Embolo: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cbd102a93b6abe3683045fbf0af9da8473283cbad11a276cac09bcaf7873aec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 19c | 15,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Yes | 19c | 4,737$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 17c | 2,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Yes | 19c | 1,211$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 19c | 1,049$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 197 | 13.7%27 W · 170 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 17c | 1,011$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.97 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 9c | 637.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 10c | 515.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…f305backed Yes | 18c | 444.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 188 | 27.7%52 W · 136 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…e395backed Yes | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9f…bb16backed Yes | 23c | 321.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 20c | 271$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 23%26 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…d38bbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes | 6c | 216$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Yes | 19c | 212.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 77c | 185.43$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd558…ab25backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65f…134ebacked Yes | 19c | 150.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…3742backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df9…f9c0backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…5487backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaeb…4a50backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 14.9%10 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…6468backed Yes | 19c | 98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 78c | 65.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf089…c8febacked Yes | 19c | 63.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 68. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsYes won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsYes won
- Breel Embolo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Breel Embolo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 2+ shotsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 3+ shotsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 5+ shotsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ goalsYes won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Dan Ndoye: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 2+ shotsYes won
- Dan Ndoye: 3+ shotsYes won
- Denis Zakaria: 1+ shotsYes won
- Denis Zakaria: 2+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 3+ shotsNo won
- Fabian Rieder: 1+ goalsNo won
- Facundo Medina: 2+ shotsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 3+ goalsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 1+ assistsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 1+ shotsYes won
- Granit Xhaka: 2+ goalsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 2+ shotsYes won
- Granit Xhaka: 3+ shotsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ assistsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsYes won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shotsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 2+ shotsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 3+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Paredes: 1+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Paredes: 2+ shotsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsYes won
- Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lisandro Martínez: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lisandro Martínez: 2+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.