Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfc243766fc0e371ab822ed2cd26fc9641834c7c304fa2845651c5163c4381a6

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $154,724
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $167,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,724 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x50f0…5355backed Yes	27c	58,301$15,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,741.21	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No	73c	47,519$34,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,830.13	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c96…959fbacked Yes	0c	36,300$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.3	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-69.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	74c	12,634$9,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,301.46	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No	73c	6,018$4,393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,624.98	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes	26c	5,776$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	110	38.2%42 W · 68 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No	74c	5,590$4,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,453.32	145	53.8%78 W · 67 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked No	75c	5,000$3,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,250	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Yes	27c	3,541$946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945.71	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes	27c	3,015$804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803.6	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c4…bc41backed Yes	26c	3,000$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	-4.9wins	-0.14per pick	25cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	73c	2,447$1,795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.29	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No	72c	1,745$1,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.71	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No	74c	1,554$1,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.02	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+6.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No	73c	1,365$996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.55	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes	18c	1,250$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	74c	1,089$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.99	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes	26c	999.99$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No	73c	984.64$721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.68	399	51.6%206 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabc…a190backed Yes	26c	961.54$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc843…32b7backed Yes	29c	797.55$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.18	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes	26c	769.23$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	315	20.3%64 W · 251 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e34…625dbacked Yes	27c	740.74$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	77	14.3%11 W · 66 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No	76c	656.95$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.11	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a00…4684backed No	72c	600.33$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.25	59	62.7%37 W · 22 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a3…1b53backed Yes	28c	579.25$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.19	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes	25c	514$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.4	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4753…41adbacked No	77c	499.11$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.93	59	69.5%41 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	70c	416$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.8	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6e73…1d17backed No	72c	413.79$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.86	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes	26c	384.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1566…86afbacked Yes	25c	383.49$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.87	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65f6…c4a5backed Yes	27c	377.78$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	54	37%20 W · 34 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+18%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05fe…358bbacked Yes	26c	373.35$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	115	20%23 W · 92 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdb…92dbbacked Yes	27c	370.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	26.4%14 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	81	27.2%22 W · 59 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Yes	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	327	33%108 W · 219 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9067…8cf5backed Yes	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes	27c	336.74$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.58	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	19c	272.85$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.19	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No	73c	271.25$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.18	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	27c	222.22$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba34…32b8backed Yes	28c	217.86$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	261	51.7%135 W · 126 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea3…c245backed Yes	26c	192.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes	26c	192.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	113	23%26 W · 87 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes	26c	192.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	160	16.3%26 W · 134 L	-11.0wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked No	75c	190.47$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.62	204	27%55 W · 149 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5d3…6b98backed No	73c	190$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.3	65	70.8%46 W · 19 L	+6.5wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fda…b819backed Yes	27c	186.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes	27c	180$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Yes	28c	178.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	160	32.5%52 W · 108 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	73c	169.99$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.25	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes	27c	160$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.8	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x323b…df9abacked Yes	26c	146.15$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	79	19%15 W · 64 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No	73c	140$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.8	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdeda…273abacked Yes	26c	117.09$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Yes	26c	115.38$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	226	43.4%98 W · 128 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd558…ab25backed Yes	26c	115.38$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff6…b54abacked Yes	26c	115.38$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No	75c	112$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.14	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Yes	27c	111.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	128	39.1%50 W · 78 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d4…4064backed Yes	26c	103.85$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	113	38.1%43 W · 70 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes	28c	103.73$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.04	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Yes	29c	103.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	309	28.8%89 W · 220 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75ab…b900backed Yes	26c	102.65$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Yes	27c	101.85$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	94	28.7%27 W · 67 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a1f…3400backed No	72c	101.42$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.4	13	100%13 W · 0 L	+3.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	161	49.7%80 W · 81 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Yes	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	166	29.5%49 W · 117 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa35e…64bfbacked Yes	29c	99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.71	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes	27c	92.59$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	91	12.1%11 W · 80 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…5cb6backed Yes	26c	91.81$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.87	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+3.8wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Yes	28c	89.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	126	54%68 W · 58 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	71c	88$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.52	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ed…8168backed Yes	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	101	49.5%50 W · 51 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9418…9c8bbacked Yes	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d82…ea1fbacked Yes	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	-6.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	20c	73.7$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.73	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…799cbacked Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	254	37.4%95 W · 159 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	375	26.1%98 W · 277 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x538d…55afbacked Yes	26c	69.23$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+4.0wins	+0.21per pick	32cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x609a…8fb5backed Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274e…e53dbacked Yes	26c	61$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.86	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Yes	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	146	55.5%81 W · 65 L	+8.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Yes	27c	58.79$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	333	45.3%151 W · 182 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed Yes	28c	58.25$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.31	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a08…08b7backed Yes	26c	57.69$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	99	34.3%34 W · 65 L	-8.2wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8704…566cbacked No	74c	55$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.3	65	84.6%55 W · 10 L	+11.4wins	+0.18per pick	67cpaid	+29%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked No	73c	53.34$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.17	785	59.7%469 W · 316 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9146…2813backed Yes	29c	52.28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	173	36.4%63 W · 110 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	73c	52$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.26	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a94…5242backed Yes	27c	51.3$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.85	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9c…601abacked Yes	28c	51.21$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.34	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-4.6wins	-0.18per pick	33cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No	71c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0be…2473backed Yes	26c	46.69$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.14	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7440…e22cbacked Yes	27c	40.74$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f1…478bbacked Yes	27c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	129	48.8%63 W · 66 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Yes	26c	38$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	153	25.5%39 W · 114 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	72c	29.99$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	79c	24$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.14	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 68. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsthis page
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsYes won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shotsYes won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goalsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsYes won
Breel Embolo: 1+ assistsNo won
Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsNo won
Breel Embolo: 1+ shotsYes won
Breel Embolo: 2+ goalsNo won
Breel Embolo: 2+ shotsNo won
Breel Embolo: 3+ goalsNo won
Breel Embolo: 3+ shotsNo won
Breel Embolo: 5+ shotsNo won
Dan Ndoye: 1+ assistsNo won
Dan Ndoye: 1+ goalsYes won
Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
Dan Ndoye: 2+ goalsNo won
Dan Ndoye: 2+ shotsYes won
Dan Ndoye: 3+ shotsYes won
Denis Zakaria: 1+ shotsYes won
Denis Zakaria: 2+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 3+ shotsNo won
Fabian Rieder: 1+ goalsNo won
Facundo Medina: 2+ shotsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 3+ goalsNo won
Granit Xhaka: 1+ assistsNo won
Granit Xhaka: 1+ goalsNo won
Granit Xhaka: 1+ shotsYes won
Granit Xhaka: 2+ goalsNo won
Granit Xhaka: 2+ shotsYes won
Granit Xhaka: 3+ shotsNo won
Johan Manzambi: 1+ assistsNo won
Johan Manzambi: 1+ goalsNo won
Johan Manzambi: 2+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsYes won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ assistsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shotsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goalsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ shotsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 3+ shotsNo won
Leandro Paredes: 1+ assistsNo won
Leandro Paredes: 2+ shotsNo won
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsYes won
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsNo won
Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsNo won
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsNo won
Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsNo won
Lisandro Martínez: 1+ shotsYes won
Lisandro Martínez: 2+ shotsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event