NFL · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x843e9b78e44da75cf274ee5ed97bbc9aee94ef49d205907c7c26c6653aabc0f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 3c | 5,397$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.68 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 58c | 4,891$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.5 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 45c | 2,111$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.09 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…73e5backed No | 32c | 1,770$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 69c | 1,463$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed No | 5c | 1,400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 12c | 1,250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…b36cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed No | 8c | 905.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0616…0f99backed No | 5c | 899.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 54c | 865.05$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.86 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 47c | 820.12$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.41 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 29c | 533.87$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.07 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…7112backed Yes | 64c | 524.74$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.48 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…639fbacked No | 38c | 507$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed Yes | 42c | 505.51$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.72 | 18 | 94.4%17 W · 1 L | +6.2wins | +0.35per pick | 60cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734f…b3b7backed No | 6c | 480$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 37c | 459.45$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 49c | 410.68$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.68 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…b6afbacked No | 7c | 366.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 6c | 350$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc726…c39abacked No | 12c | 329.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf336…a81ebacked No | 8c | 296.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed No | 8c | 262.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5edd…8309backed Yes | 41c | 241.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 34c | 232.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 51c | 231.91$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Yes | 69c | 216.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…a7a6backed Yes | 49c | 205.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Yes | 71c | 188.05$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 91 | 81.3%74 W · 17 L | +15.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6d…e1f2backed Yes | 57c | 168.42$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…446dbacked No | 35c | 143.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9d…7e2cbacked Yes | 64c | 140$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…980bbacked No | 19c | 125.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 40c | 122.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.31 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…1602backed Yes | 68c | 111.82$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked No | 65c | 110$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…e497backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…5afdbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…4b34backed No | 54c | 97.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…ff7dbacked Yes | 42c | 88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0770…184bbacked No | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 57c | 82.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Yes | 70c | 81.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 48c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…9ec9backed Yes | 67c | 77.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x925a…3e7fbacked No | 68c | 75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed No | 34c | 72.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 22c | 63.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…e844backed No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 59c | 55.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 58c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1837…cf3abacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 34c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa919…170ebacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe418…ea25backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf9…0d23backed Yes | 77c | 39.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…50f5backed No | 34c | 38.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 27c | 38.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…4f7fbacked No | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8a…0529backed No | 39c | 32.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 62c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…6c0fbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…d39abacked Yes | 50c | 21.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -75%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…04f4backed Yes | 68c | 19.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5029…534cbacked Yes | 74c | 18.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…192bbacked Yes | 74c | 18.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c2…e04ebacked Yes | 74c | 18.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83c…cd3abacked Yes | 73c | 16.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during Super Bowl pregame interview?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Beautiful" 5+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Biden" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Bills" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Border" 5+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Chiefs" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "China" 3+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crypto", "Cryptocurrency", or "Bitcoin" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "DEI" or "Diversity Equity and Inclusion" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "DOGE" or "Department of Governmental Efficiency" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Eagles" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Greenland" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Israel" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Panama" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Patrick" or "Mahomes" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Putin" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Russia" 2+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Taylor" or "Swift" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Trans" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Trudeau" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.