NFL · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "DOGE" or "Department of Governmental Efficiency" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33d09eebb5d482dbc0b9a0546812ddf528d4bc48d348b6b1bd9e47c57c46df8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd673…0c20backed Yes | 0c | 71,500$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 53c | 3,835$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.43 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 48c | 2,925$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cf…b8d3backed Yes | 1c | 2,167$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed No | 52c | 2,093$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.35 | 18 | 94.4%17 W · 1 L | +6.2wins | +0.35per pick | 60cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 12c | 1,671$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.72 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 54c | 1,301$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 40c | 1,100$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4257…7af7backed Yes | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6c…6909backed Yes | 3c | 1,049$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 45c | 1,007$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.33 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed No | 49c | 1,000$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 59c | 912.49$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.37 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…7112backed Yes | 47c | 898.76$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.14 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed Yes | 42c | 748.33$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…2624backed Yes | 55c | 699$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.45 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3391…ed51backed No | 63c | 630.16$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…f8e8backed Yes | 51c | 612.7$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 59c | 505.12$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.42 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 54c | 418.34$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 55c | 407.82$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 91 | 81.3%74 W · 17 L | +15.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4e95backed No | 52c | 375.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 62c | 301.68$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd7…eb50backed Yes | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 65c | 279.45$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb572…9239backed Yes | 38c | 261.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6d…e1f2backed Yes | 38c | 252.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 46c | 240$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22f0…da29backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe32…8a0abacked Yes | 9c | 228.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 49c | 226.6$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.63 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Yes | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74da…1ba5backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…9d99backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…446dbacked No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6620…bc6dbacked Yes | 53c | 190.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Yes | 38c | 187.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 54c | 176.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed No | 71c | 175.81$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 64c | 165.16$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…74dfbacked No | 70c | 151$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…126cbacked Yes | 40c | 118.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed No | 56c | 118.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 54c | 113.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed Yes | 23c | 108.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 63c | 104.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Yes | 40c | 100.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…5afdbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0770…184bbacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 40c | 93.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed No | 62c | 90.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…ff7dbacked Yes | 40c | 87.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x925a…3e7fbacked No | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 67c | 73.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 51c | 67.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…6096backed Yes | 45c | 66.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…908fbacked No | 74c | 52.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1837…cf3abacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…edb0backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1b89backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…88c5backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 44c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf336…a81ebacked No | 59c | 47.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 61c | 47.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa3…7948backed Yes | 49c | 46.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f9…ed67backed Yes | 55c | 45.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…6c0fbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9d…7e2cbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…3c93backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…d39abacked Yes | 38c | 37.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -75%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4265…45a6backed Yes | 53c | 37.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…639fbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…27b3backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…2a72backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…f46ebacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb0…69d2backed Yes | 54c | 19.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477b…27debacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "DOGE" or "Department of Governmental Efficiency" during Super Bowl pregame interview?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Beautiful" 5+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Biden" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Bills" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Border" 5+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Chiefs" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "China" 3+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crypto", "Cryptocurrency", or "Bitcoin" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "DEI" or "Diversity Equity and Inclusion" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Eagles" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during Super Bowl pregame interview?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Greenland" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Israel" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Panama" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Patrick" or "Mahomes" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Putin" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Russia" 2+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Taylor" or "Swift" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Trans" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Trudeau" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.