NFL · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "Eagles" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd461e5db3ec9945031b254759eb3094a4210cb2364ff56f08f95066f8ad91698
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ac3…f3b0backed Yes | 20c | 30,346$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…9cb4backed No | 80c | 30,346$24,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 68c | 1,904$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.02 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…61ffbacked Yes | 3c | 1,060$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…5ea1backed Yes | 5c | 963.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 56c | 378.34$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.16 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 4c | 373.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed Yes | 44c | 285$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…de20backed Yes | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed No | 50c | 230.47$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…b4b5backed Yes | 10c | 207.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b6…98eebacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 42c | 128.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 36c | 100.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…6c64backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…3944backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4257…7af7backed Yes | 49c | 99.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…c40cbacked No | 65c | 94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc712…fdb9backed Yes | 35c | 94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…2bf3backed No | 65c | 92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…126cbacked Yes | 49c | 88.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 23c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…5dc4backed No | 65c | 73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4100…8ec3backed Yes | 35c | 73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba20…1bf4backed Yes | 35c | 73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…4c5abacked Yes | 15c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…58d5backed Yes | 19c | 60.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…5862backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 55c | 53.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc81e…74a5backed Yes | 42c | 50.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614c…140abacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5597…f3c8backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…2daebacked Yes | 43c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…a100backed No | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…b6afbacked Yes | 49c | 41.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…908fbacked Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…8416backed No | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9b…b5febacked Yes | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…c060backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 67c | 16.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "Eagles" during Super Bowl pregame interview?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Beautiful" 5+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Biden" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Bills" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Border" 5+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Chiefs" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "China" 3+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crypto", "Cryptocurrency", or "Bitcoin" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "DEI" or "Diversity Equity and Inclusion" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "DOGE" or "Department of Governmental Efficiency" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during Super Bowl pregame interview?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Greenland" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Israel" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Panama" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Patrick" or "Mahomes" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Putin" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Russia" 2+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Taylor" or "Swift" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Trans" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Trudeau" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine" during Super Bowl pregame interview?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.