Us Politics · resolved market
Will None in 2025 occur?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb99d8be54dc50e05d77c378f718b97ec64772d995dd5034737a1ec562d503bf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21fe…da90backed No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 19c | 4,800$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901.99 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…3796backed No | 3c | 3,339$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 79c | 3,135$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.97 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 15c | 2,920$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.99 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed No | 41c | 2,024$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 80c | 1,953$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.81 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 47c | 1,817$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.25 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 63c | 1,232$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.7 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…9800backed Yes | 46c | 1,078$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -76%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 57c | 1,076$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.38 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 10c | 942.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 3c | 816.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…adabbacked No | 56c | 733.23$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 7c | 729.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…434ebacked No | 5c | 700$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Yes | 78c | 624.37$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.44 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ac…c2aabacked No | 50c | 600$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 15c | 585.62$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…a350backed No | 62c | 500$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 52c | 490.7$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d08…3defbacked Yes | 77c | 426.07$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 36c | 400$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 19c | 367.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…c560backed No | 57c | 363$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…7346backed Yes | 45c | 357.6$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 7c | 334.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 13c | 334.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.08 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…8c3dbacked Yes | 76c | 307.18$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 12c | 271.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 18c | 260.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 34c | 260$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.02 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked No | 79c | 254$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +300%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed No | 53c | 253.83$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.53 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 21c | 249$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.71 | 136 | 73.5%100 W · 36 L | +28.4wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…e546backed No | 8c | 230.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked No | 58c | 221.29$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed No | 57c | 219.12$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.71 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…9079backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…23d8backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 60c | 198.7$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.89 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…20ccbacked Yes | 51c | 196.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce2…5f90backed Yes | 9c | 175$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 17c | 170.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 78c | 162.08$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x307c…b0b7backed No | 30c | 141.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 11c | 141.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.63 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc803…4cefbacked Yes | 50c | 127.78$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…951dbacked Yes | 10c | 125$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 47c | 119.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed No | 22c | 113.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…fb82backed No | 21c | 112.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 18c | 105.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…9d0fbacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d10abacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…71e7backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…ff6bbacked Yes | 77c | 91.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…3d65backed Yes | 71c | 89.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe404…10a4backed No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe898…769fbacked No | 34c | 79.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 45c | 77.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 14c | 71.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb06…1a41backed Yes | 46c | 69.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 18c | 68.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 78c | 68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 79c | 62.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f6…f2e7backed No | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4581…30a3backed Yes | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 21c | 56.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 52c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…3789backed Yes | 74c | 51.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…46c8backed Yes | 58c | 51.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…0badbacked Yes | 61c | 48.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…e423backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 79c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +155.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…521cbacked Yes | 40c | 39.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023c…bdafbacked Yes | 57c | 35.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 70c | 33.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…75a6backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x964a…51ddbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0e…46e7backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…2dcdbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will None in 2025 occur?this page
- Will Brooke Rollins be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?No won
- Will Doug Burgum be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?No won
- Will Doug Collins be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?No won
- Will Howard Lutnick be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?No won
- Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?No won
- Will Jamieson Greer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?No won
- Will Kelly Loeffler be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?No won
- Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?No won
- Will Lee Zeldin be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?No won
- Will Marco Rubio be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?No won
- Will Mike Waltz be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?No won
- Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?No won
- Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?No won
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?No won
- Will Scott Bessent be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?No won
- Will Sean Duffy be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?No won
- Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?No won
- Will Susie Wiles be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?No won
- Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.