World Politics · resolved market
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7272ac22a6fb80c349170b2cb0fa26b3ed970dfd4e4a3a7801b9eb9e4d454902
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cf0…a12ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed No | 8c | 7,024$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed No | 10c | 1,886$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.68 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 11c | 1,614$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 18c | 1,504$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.26 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…971ebacked No | 16c | 1,121$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 11c | 1,032$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…d233backed No | 10c | 972.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…63e6backed No | 15c | 912$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 16c | 852.83$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.41 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8399…49f9backed No | 13c | 746$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…4928backed No | 16c | 703$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 9c | 671.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb510…7d9cbacked No | 12c | 668$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…34b4backed No | 13c | 635$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6d…44d4backed No | 24c | 603.76$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399b…e771backed No | 13c | 598$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 16c | 514.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 203 | 28.6%58 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…8f82backed Yes | 59c | 504.59$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…cef4backed No | 10c | 450$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a4…627bbacked No | 12c | 448$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 65c | 420$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f3…76dcbacked Yes | 69c | 418$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…0e44backed No | 13c | 397.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd042…7198backed Yes | 65c | 384.59$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…f831backed Yes | 62c | 379.15$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3b…f7b4backed No | 9c | 372$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…d2eebacked No | 29c | 357$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 58c | 349.44$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.8 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…36a5backed Yes | 66c | 346$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…c44abacked Yes | 80c | 340$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…cb5cbacked No | 8c | 338$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778f…fb61backed No | 23c | 336$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d9…4f8abacked No | 16c | 305$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…cd96backed Yes | 74c | 285$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…87b9backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…d8bdbacked Yes | 76c | 269$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 48c | 263$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…04b2backed No | 8c | 248.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…4f0fbacked Yes | 76c | 246$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…aad8backed Yes | 74c | 240$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6612…aa99backed No | 8c | 240$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 22c | 238.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a3…67e3backed Yes | 68c | 232.19$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4298…9932backed No | 9c | 230.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 7c | 224.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…ec2abacked No | 14c | 219$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a9…ed65backed Yes | 75c | 214$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd701…55c3backed No | 12c | 212$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc957…82cbbacked No | 15c | 211$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…9d2fbacked No | 7c | 197$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…adccbacked No | 12c | 196$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f5…2ed1backed No | 11c | 194$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…ab6bbacked No | 12c | 189$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…ca83backed No | 12c | 180$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c7…b6b3backed No | 11c | 178$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a1…115bbacked No | 15c | 169$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 32c | 166.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d3…4356backed Yes | 64c | 165$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2879…8bbebacked No | 15c | 161$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0264…e5cfbacked No | 10c | 157.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…0314backed Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc09…8bf9backed No | 29c | 148$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111d…d297backed No | 24c | 147$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…feaabacked Yes | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ba…dd63backed Yes | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…dcb7backed Yes | 78c | 137.37$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…3490backed Yes | 73c | 136.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…acc8backed Yes | 76c | 136$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Yes | 55c | 131.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…daa3backed No | 20c | 131$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8984…5bb8backed No | 20c | 129$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…1d2cbacked No | 13c | 127$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 77c | 125.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…0eb6backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…dd0cbacked No | 22c | 119$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…54c9backed No | 10c | 115$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked Yes | 70c | 113.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5893…d75abacked Yes | 73c | 110$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d8…872bbacked No | 13c | 105$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 22c | 104.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67e8…10dabacked No | 21c | 103$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067c…e9a3backed No | 12c | 102$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ee…769dbacked No | 26c | 102$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9d…ea34backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…7dc3backed No | 39c | 99.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951e…6280backed No | 23c | 99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8f…3a74backed No | 14c | 85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…b3efbacked No | 12c | 85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc516…b1c0backed No | 30c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…8553backed Yes | 80c | 83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4412…1a92backed No | 25c | 81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…d6eabacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 39c | 77.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25f…155fbacked No | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…48b8backed No | 24c | 74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…6b2fbacked No | 20c | 72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?this page
- Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?No won
- Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the October meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.