Us Politics · resolved market
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79342e0d3cce6f59378a6a016531546b773490b30ce51700265bc13e6651bd72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 39c | 12,945$5,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,025.28 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 25c | 6,035$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.07 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 21c | 4,630$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.38 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63a6…f308backed No | 72c | 4,577$3,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 70c | 4,123$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.57 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…f1a5backed No | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…97d6backed Yes | 33c | 2,585$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed No | 68c | 2,567$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 71c | 2,550$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.25 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked No | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 67c | 2,496$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.5 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 43c | 2,492$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.77 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 57c | 2,287$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.52 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 72c | 2,210$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.72 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 25c | 2,191$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.09 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 75c | 2,176$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.78 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 32c | 2,041$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.89 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 80c | 1,682$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.35 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 28c | 1,594$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.52 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…9a1ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,573$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked No | 62c | 1,494$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.45 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…2ff6backed Yes | 44c | 1,404$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 39c | 1,400$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 102 | 11.8%12 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked No | 67c | 1,328$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 52c | 1,290$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.48 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3244…5b5dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,268$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked No | 54c | 1,223$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,186$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.84 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…92b8backed No | 52c | 1,140$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 70c | 1,043$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.01 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 40c | 1,026$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.96 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…fbfbbacked No | 72c | 1,005$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -66%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…5b0fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…eeaebacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf623…bb2cbacked Yes | 35c | 913.7$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 41c | 903.44$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.07 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3421…5cafbacked No | 60c | 902.53$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…220ebacked Yes | 35c | 854.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 49c | 839$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 60c | 800$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 41c | 753.61$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.67 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 36c | 752.92$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.51 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…6ba8backed Yes | 32c | 740.78$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.89 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 32c | 738.43$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.12 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 30c | 730.43$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.82 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed Yes | 16c | 715.6$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0842…4658backed No | 70c | 710.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 16c | 706.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7f…6e13backed Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 31c | 700$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.41 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…7ba2backed Yes | 28c | 697.2$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b9…9687backed Yes | 32c | 668.13$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 31c | 652.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 36c | 650$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed No | 51c | 644$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.68 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…c21ebacked No | 64c | 640$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…97c9backed Yes | 16c | 621.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 63c | 608.84$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.27 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 16c | 602.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 6c | 601.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 59c | 600$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Yes | 36c | 599.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 561.23$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.22 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 543.2$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.05 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4083…363fbacked Yes | 32c | 511.11$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.74 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 19c | 508$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 7c | 496.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Yes | 17c | 471.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked Yes | 36c | 467.1$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.33 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 461.99$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.04 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed Yes | 36c | 455$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…af2bbacked No | 78c | 433.97$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 47c | 433.33$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.66 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…737fbacked No | 61c | 430.56$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e0…e507backed Yes | 6c | 411.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cce…5c11backed No | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 34c | 400$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…ae77backed Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 80c | 390$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3157…3234backed Yes | 24c | 367$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199c…4d76backed Yes | 28c | 365.17$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2a…5d4abacked Yes | 53c | 364.9$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 18c | 356$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…ff4bbacked No | 53c | 341.82$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…79acbacked No | 57c | 339.37$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.93 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 6c | 335.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 67c | 333$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8664…9500backed Yes | 39c | 329.54$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.72 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 60c | 327.94$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.01 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…c4ecbacked Yes | 17c | 317.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.