Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69b604e3d43293ee5aedc9fa00c8d8380cb7e5a71ef189503a532f083e2b8081
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,546,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $259,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,546,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x832c…644fbacked Yes | 0c | 98,036$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4315…0ae5backed Yes | 0c | 97,759$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…b425backed Yes | 0c | 94,859$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53c…c4b3backed Yes | 0c | 92,629$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…8f0abacked Yes | 0c | 92,022$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe198…ed7abacked Yes | 0c | 90,229$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…e773backed Yes | 0c | 81,559$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…d5f7backed Yes | 0c | 80,403$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed6…5bc0backed Yes | 0c | 79,909$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5170…a46bbacked Yes | 0c | 78,759$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b80…766ebacked Yes | 0c | 78,653$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…3be0backed Yes | 0c | 78,559$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…eaf1backed Yes | 0c | 77,573$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc143…9435backed Yes | 0c | 74,323$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b5…90b5backed Yes | 0c | 62,559$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd7…e60dbacked Yes | 0c | 61,699$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca3…ff3dbacked Yes | 0c | 61,699$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903b…20febacked Yes | 0c | 60,133$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ea…05d3backed Yes | 0c | 59,133$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…c994backed Yes | 0c | 58,733$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da2…a45ebacked Yes | 0c | 58,342$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6afe…c1f5backed Yes | 0c | 57,573$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc705…9450backed Yes | 0c | 57,166$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c44…6593backed Yes | 0c | 54,443$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…6986backed Yes | 0c | 51,507$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 18c | 50,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1c…7db9backed Yes | 0c | 41,706$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…4855backed Yes | 0c | 41,706$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d8…fbfcbacked Yes | 0c | 41,706$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab5a…cd21backed Yes | 0c | 41,706$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ce…327ebacked Yes | 0c | 41,706$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d3…933cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,566$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 22c | 15,791$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.35 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 19c | 15,471$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…6bfcbacked Yes | 0c | 12,742$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 4cpaid | +203%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…6d22backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ba…e67ebacked Yes | 3c | 10,000$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…68cabacked No | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 6c | 8,119$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.16 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25be…ddffbacked Yes | 0c | 6,370$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Yes | 24c | 6,034$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 23c | 5,324$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.81 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…ccb0backed Yes | 23c | 4,729$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 22c | 4,710$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.94 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 17c | 3,300$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes | 3c | 3,246$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 25c | 3,154$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d61…6f1abacked Yes | 21c | 2,882$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 22c | 2,700$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.93 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 11c | 2,629$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.3 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 22c | 2,500$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.99 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x593c…72debacked Yes | 33c | 2,481$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.95 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…2339backed Yes | 25c | 2,177$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 24c | 2,140$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 21c | 1,962$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,750$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 73c | 1,730$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 38cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x036e…9276backed Yes | 20c | 1,652$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.43 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…0d28backed Yes | 21c | 1,645$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 21c | 1,500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 22cpaid | -65%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,493$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.47 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,297$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.4 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 24c | 1,272$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445a…9465backed Yes | 17c | 1,259$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 18c | 1,200$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 12c | 1,140$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb088…3862backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +218.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…52b7backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc358…1015backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…8da4backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb37…2bf1backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 24c | 966.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.33 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5173…7f78backed Yes | 19c | 947$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 24c | 928.02$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.74 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6d…212ebacked Yes | 21c | 901.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.42 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…5016backed Yes | 21c | 854.63$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.47 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 25c | 745.89$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 23c | 700$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed No | 74c | 624.43$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.46 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…1e37backed Yes | 33c | 610.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 73c | 608.73$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.29 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…4d1fbacked Yes | 21c | 607.07$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.48 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc9…1ec7backed Yes | 21c | 550$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Yes | 14c | 537.66$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538f…7c72backed Yes | 23c | 500$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 23c | 467$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.41 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 22c | 455$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…c6d6backed Yes | 4c | 370$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Yes | 22c | 340.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed Yes | 22c | 304.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?this page
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?Yes won
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?No won
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?No won
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?No won
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.