Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x159675af6c3f092a2e66aa26cc2056f44e574efeaf316c9c30266ca5043e9a3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 1c | 10,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 25c | 2,198$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked No | 43c | 1,703$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 1c | 1,628$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 61c | 1,225$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.37 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 60c | 1,151$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.44 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 76c | 1,105$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 35c | 1,063$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,039$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked No | 75c | 1,013$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 40c | 927.84$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.72 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 70c | 900$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.26 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e4…eff6backed Yes | 18c | 880$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…2b76backed Yes | 18c | 866.82$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +464.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 65c | 866.82$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.39 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 13c | 857.84$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.97 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 65c | 857$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.68 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 712.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 23c | 701.5$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 25c | 701.17$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.68 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 79c | 700$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.4 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 40c | 651.01$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.38 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 42c | 628.42$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.37 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…099dbacked No | 58c | 548.76$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 9c | 469.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +214.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb708…8856backed Yes | 22c | 464.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +364.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 18c | 450$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 14cpaid | +183.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…0d18backed Yes | 9c | 443.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +486.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 37c | 424.46$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 12c | 410$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.9 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26df…f747backed No | 55c | 361.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed No | 56c | 356.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f7…7071backed Yes | 10c | 349.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +924.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 48c | 312.11$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.88 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc446…0bb4backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed No | 35c | 300$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 64c | 286.67$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf812…494bbacked No | 66c | 258.16$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 52c | 255.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.23 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed Yes | 7c | 247.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked No | 58c | 239.3$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3d…4dc6backed Yes | 18c | 203.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.63 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…236cbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…3d96backed No | 50c | 198.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…e494backed Yes | 61c | 191.27$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc324…4cd6backed No | 55c | 187.18$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed No | 57c | 177.41$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +425.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 38c | 173.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…c3f1backed Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 38c | 151$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdae1…7a4dbacked Yes | 20c | 127.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x230e…26c1backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 53c | 120$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked No | 79c | 112$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cd…e2efbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc1…d7acbacked Yes | 18c | 103.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked No | 52c | 101.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b08…8401backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ad…8234backed Yes | 61c | 98.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 18c | 98.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.45 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed Yes | 13c | 98.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +137.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed No | 54c | 85.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed Yes | 16c | 85.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 38c | 84.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…57f6backed No | 61c | 82.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…1efebacked Yes | 36c | 80.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 30c | 75.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x411d…31edbacked Yes | 35c | 72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…2de1backed Yes | 60c | 71.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked No | 38c | 69.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 16c | 66.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 62c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 57c | 64.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked No | 49c | 62.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +230.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…5a48backed Yes | 36c | 55.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked Yes | 74c | 54.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed Yes | 72c | 50.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1b…9a2dbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…6fc4backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…b15ebacked No | 79c | 44.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…9d6bbacked No | 70c | 41.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 62c | 41.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 60c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…0b1abacked Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…c7aabacked No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…83e4backed No | 65c | 36.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7a…829ebacked No | 41c | 33.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 41c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd977…9d35backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 38c | 26.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…6705backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4be…c4c1backed Yes | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 53c | 23.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.