NFL · resolved market
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Euphoria"?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1021195c4a9982e34ccb94e4d9776db5cf23dcece3881d134f706f65d8720666
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b6d…5d26backed Yes | 63c | 1,176$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.02 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 65c | 851.65$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 72c | 573.68$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.48 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed No | 48c | 399.93$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…4554backed No | 26c | 380$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…6e1fbacked Yes | 60c | 359.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…928fbacked No | 32c | 330$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5396…ded6backed No | 33c | 300$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 31c | 300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086b…880dbacked No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…b31dbacked No | 34c | 266.42$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d4…d955backed No | 39c | 254.04$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Yes | 63c | 219.93$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 91 | 81.3%74 W · 17 L | +15.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed Yes | 75c | 218.52$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…314bbacked No | 30c | 216.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -72%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 7c | 205.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.32 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5af…a2febacked No | 26c | 188.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 51c | 164.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 74c | 155$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 20c | 148.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +147.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 126$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd71e…7972backed Yes | 76c | 126$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00cd…d350backed No | 32c | 125.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…de48backed Yes | 69c | 119.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…b660backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.24per pick | 28cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…dcadbacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…5312backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad6d…fb82backed Yes | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2328…6b56backed No | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed Yes | 71c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd4…0512backed No | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…88a2backed No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 41c | 67.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…908fbacked Yes | 74c | 67.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…05adbacked No | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c0…8666backed No | 69c | 55.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b9…f7a6backed No | 44c | 43.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f79…6a16backed No | 62c | 25.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7252…e0d9backed Yes | 61c | 20.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…5393backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Euphoria"?this page
- Will Kendrick Lamar perform "A.D.H.D"?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar perform "All The Stars"?Yes won
- Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Alright"?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Bitch Don't Kill My Vibe"?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Collard Greens"?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar perform "DNA"?Yes won
- Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Element"?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Family Ties"?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Heart 5"?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Hey Now"?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Hillpower"?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Humble"?Yes won
- Will Kendrick Lamar perform "King Kunta"?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Like That"?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Money Trees"?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar perform "N95"?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Not Like Us"?Yes won
- Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Squabble Up"?Yes won
- Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Swimming Pools"?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar perform "m.A.A.d. City"?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.