TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Kendrick Lamar perform "King Kunta"?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,151 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd452…03e0backed Yes22c675.63$145 inLost-$145.41425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No57c571.12$323 inWon+$248.1131543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6139…6b7abacked Yes44c371.82$164 inLost-$164.181136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ea4…eeeabacked Yes14c300$42 inLost-$42616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed No62c195.5$121 inWon+$74.295530.9%17 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes44c134.99$59 inLost-$59.458958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes49c110.99$54 inLost-$548234.1%28 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No51c96$49 inWon+$46.7329439.5%116 W · 178 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3975…626abacked No73c93$68 inWon+$24.989181.3%74 W · 17 L+15.9wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+26%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xffb0…5fa4backed Yes58c85.5$50 inLost-$5070%0 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed No40c82.84$33 inWon+$49.7119645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No52c75$39 inWon+$36.0548847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes69c72.68$50 inLost-$504533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d6…fdd3backed No53c65$34 inWon+$30.552227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No45c55.1$25 inWon+$30.4111837.3%44 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed No45c46.66$21 inWon+$25.482650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked No52c35$18 inWon+$16.82737%10 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5d…5598backed Yes60c33.33$20 inLost-$201931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes44c31.5$14 inLost-$13.868837.5%33 W · 55 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed No57c30$17 inWon+$12.97131%22 W · 49 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-41.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No77c25.97$20 inWon+$5.971471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf949…552fbacked No59c20$12 inWon+$8.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No59c20$12 inWon+$8.231439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2625…b2f8backed No77c15$12 inWon+$3.451127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-57%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.