TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Kendrick Lamar perform "All The Stars"?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,380
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,380 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x635d…5025backed No4c4,193$150 inLost-$149.92650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed No5c2,197$105 inLost-$105.345530.9%17 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d74…ee45backed No3c2,000$60 inLost-$59.991154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed No3c1,048$31 inLost-$31.4420246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2625…b2f8backed No3c700$22 inLost-$221127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-57%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed No4c585.18$26 inLost-$25.9713935.3%49 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed No4c515$20 inLost-$19.93825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-52.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c42…6e1fbacked No3c500$15 inLost-$15650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No4c423.02$16 inLost-$16.3711837.3%44 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No5c375$19 inLost-$18.5728151.6%145 W · 136 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes72c301$216 inWon+$85.0131543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes75c20$15 inWon+$51861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.