NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe49e2bb0d4b15432fa861b1cf050f4aec90444662fc2ac0cc56530fe6fc5e353
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Kraken, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7709…5852backed Oilers | 61c | 8,245$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.14 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…0a9abacked Kraken | 46c | 5,871$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Oilers | 54c | 5,871$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken | 40c | 3,968$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.28 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Kraken | 38c | 3,484$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.14 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Oilers | 62c | 3,000$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.07 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Kraken | 40c | 2,924$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.74 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Kraken | 39c | 2,912$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.35 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Kraken | 39c | 2,547$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.46 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers | 61c | 2,214$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.81 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 38c | 1,979$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.57 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Oilers | 61c | 1,976$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.8 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Kraken | 38c | 1,737$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.06 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Oilers | 61c | 1,647$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.24 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Oilers | 71c | 1,519$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.09 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kraken | 39c | 1,462$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Oilers | 79c | 1,235$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.92 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9c…6007backed Kraken | 40c | 1,063$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…30c8backed Oilers | 61c | 1,044$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kraken | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Oilers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.05 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…eefdbacked Kraken | 40c | 999.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…b470backed Oilers | 60c | 996$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…7894backed Kraken | 40c | 991.37$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Kraken | 11c | 980$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Oilers | 60c | 821.89$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.9 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Kraken | 40c | 715$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers | 60c | 704.39$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.68 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Kraken | 41c | 701.87$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.42 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Kraken | 40c | 624.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kraken | 40c | 593.92$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.57 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken | 39c | 525.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.14 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…323cbacked Oilers | 60c | 492.13$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Oilers | 61c | 491.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.44 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kraken | 39c | 419.29$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.52 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Oilers | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Oilers | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Kraken | 41c | 379.05$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.41 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 25c | 368.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kraken | 5c | 332.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Kraken | 23c | 331.88$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kraken | 41c | 314$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.74 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…f4f2backed Oilers | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Kraken | 38c | 269.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.23 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec16…07f9backed Oilers | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf69…08debacked Kraken | 9c | 227.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Oilers | 60c | 220.47$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cc…de2dbacked Oilers | 60c | 220$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Oilers | 61c | 213$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…a5b9backed Kraken | 41c | 178.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44af…129fbacked Oilers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 61c | 163.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Oilers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…0d39backed Oilers | 61c | 154.15$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Oilers | 59c | 127.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Kraken | 40c | 120.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…a47ebacked Kraken | 41c | 118.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kraken | 39c | 118.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Oilers | 58c | 117.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Kraken | 39c | 115.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc2…426cbacked Kraken | 41c | 112.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…b4dfbacked Kraken | 41c | 111.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 39c | 108.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…99b1backed Oilers | 60c | 107.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6836…ed47backed Oilers | 60c | 103.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…b8edbacked Oilers | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Oilers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Oilers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Oilers | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Oilers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Oilers | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Oilers | 61c | 98.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Oilers | 61c | 96.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…c612backed Kraken | 41c | 95.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…cd97backed Oilers | 60c | 92.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed Oilers | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…b88abacked Oilers | 60c | 90.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…6d32backed Oilers | 60c | 90.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e5…be51backed Oilers | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…0d51backed Kraken | 41c | 89.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…4e01backed Oilers | 60c | 88.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…ba5bbacked Oilers | 60c | 88.05$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…b727backed Kraken | 41c | 87.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…ae93backed Kraken | 41c | 87.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…134bbacked Kraken | 41c | 87.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce5…ce97backed Oilers | 60c | 86.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…7c50backed Oilers | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75a…8e0fbacked Kraken | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd07d…8a68backed Oilers | 61c | 80.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…8e8bbacked Kraken | 41c | 80.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6a…8b6dbacked Oilers | 60c | 80.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71bb…9860backed Kraken | 41c | 80.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325d…515cbacked Kraken | 41c | 77.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1154…33a8backed Oilers | 60c | 76.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70e4…19c1backed Oilers | 60c | 75.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0924…e953backed Kraken | 41c | 73.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Kraken | 42c | 70.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…b7b8backed Oilers | 60c | 67.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Oilers | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.