Boxing · resolved market
Paul vs Joshua: Round 1 KO/TKO?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6ba5e2b5aed251ca8e93798053401559587494ce83580d56210c5d105b38a02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 16c | 3,555$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +182.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Yes | 2c | 1,240$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 2cpaid | +525%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…aa18backed Yes | 23c | 443.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…467abacked Yes | 14c | 418.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x665b…73babacked No | 74c | 364.62$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked No | 76c | 276.15$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 77c | 243.48$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…44f3backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 12c | 177.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff58…db9cbacked Yes | 26c | 138.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87d…9310backed Yes | 27c | 135.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…dcc3backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…fe5cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…b38bbacked No | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked No | 75c | 82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +467.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 74c | 80.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Yes | 26c | 77.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b7…1911backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c0…0742backed Yes | 25c | 63.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…46dbbacked Yes | 26c | 49.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a33…0f11backed No | 80c | 19.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe072…a9bcbacked No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.