Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Creighton vs. Auburn
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f3418834e176b24d1e43872a31ce36cbe39f4219fcba909c074658d9eb9fdcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auburnof Creighton, Auburn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $437,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $576,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Creighton | 5c | 58,274$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135.7 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Creighton | 19c | 25,083$4,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714.93 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Creighton | 10c | 16,054$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.2 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Creighton | 19c | 15,384$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.33 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067c…bfd4backed Auburn | 77c | 10,001$7,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…bec8backed Auburn | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8e…4ad8backed Creighton | 23c | 9,996$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f56…fefdbacked Creighton | 23c | 9,990$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…af15backed Creighton | 23c | 9,989$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8df…3fbcbacked Auburn | 79c | 9,967$7,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…3162backed Creighton | 21c | 9,943$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839b…27c3backed Auburn | 77c | 9,749$7,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…36b3backed Auburn | 73c | 7,721$5,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.33 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed Creighton | 20c | 7,513$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.47 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Creighton | 33c | 6,542$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.64 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Creighton | 25c | 6,280$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Creighton | 21c | 6,008$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.24 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Creighton | 20c | 5,000$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Creighton | 19c | 4,565$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.56 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…239abacked Auburn | 80c | 4,419$3,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Creighton | 7c | 4,131$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Creighton | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Creighton | 5c | 3,980$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.48 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Auburn | 73c | 3,542$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.85 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Auburn | 80c | 3,441$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…144abacked Creighton | 32c | 2,593$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Auburn | 80c | 1,947$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Auburn | 73c | 1,781$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.01 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Creighton | 18c | 1,493$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.81 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Creighton | 13c | 1,429$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Auburn | 78c | 1,427$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.88 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Auburn | 73c | 1,369$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.22 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Creighton | 22c | 1,339$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Creighton | 20c | 1,305$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.03 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Creighton | 24c | 1,246$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…a816backed Creighton | 5c | 1,188$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…051bbacked Auburn | 80c | 1,148$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Creighton | 25c | 1,100$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Auburn | 75c | 1,070$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.31 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Creighton | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Auburn | 80c | 998$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Creighton | 20c | 998$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Creighton | 1c | 922.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…03abbacked Auburn | 68c | 875.97$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Creighton | 19c | 838.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.41 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Auburn | 73c | 749.11$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.69 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Auburn | 71c | 736.11$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Auburn | 71c | 705.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.63 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Auburn | 80c | 650$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Creighton | 19c | 617.28$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…8ee3backed Creighton | 20c | 555.55$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbb…470ebacked Auburn | 80c | 555.55$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Creighton | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Creighton | 10c | 409.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…3b0cbacked Creighton | 28c | 350$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb1…ae81backed Creighton | 21c | 345.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Creighton | 28c | 344.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Creighton | 12c | 339.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Creighton | 30c | 336.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Creighton | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…abffbacked Auburn | 72c | 319.44$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb869…c4c6backed Creighton | 23c | 299.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Creighton | 7c | 297.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Creighton | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Creighton | 31c | 266.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8053…2a8ebacked Creighton | 31c | 261.29$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Auburn | 75c | 250.67$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b2…85d5backed Creighton | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Creighton | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Creighton | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Creighton | 21c | 219.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…dcc8backed Creighton | 29c | 202.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Creighton | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Creighton | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Auburn | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Creighton | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Creighton | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Creighton | 21c | 199.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…a0a4backed Creighton | 29c | 170$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Creighton | 16c | 169.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Creighton | 20c | 169.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Auburn | 71c | 169.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Creighton | 18c | 162.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Creighton | 21c | 147.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Creighton | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Creighton | 16c | 140.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Auburn | 73c | 136.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Creighton | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Creighton | 26c | 124.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Auburn | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +873.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Auburn | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Creighton | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Creighton | 20c | 113.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…7cb2backed Creighton | 20c | 109$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba0…70c5backed Creighton | 20c | 108$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561f…aeb6backed Creighton | 20c | 107$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…566dbacked Creighton | 20c | 106$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8283…827abacked Creighton | 20c | 103$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…949bbacked Creighton | 20c | 103$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd3…f223backed Creighton | 20c | 102$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.