NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90779c3c66ffed25676eb9f1381246e8bbfeba1ab69acae393147e02ff2ae26d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Red Wings, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings | 35c | 7,470$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.84 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Golden Knights | 66c | 3,157$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.31 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Golden Knights | 66c | 3,016$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.44 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Red Wings | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Red Wings | 15c | 2,479$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.52 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Wings | 34c | 1,992$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.31 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Golden Knights | 66c | 1,502$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Red Wings | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…fbc0backed Red Wings | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Golden Knights | 77c | 1,444$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.08 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights | 65c | 1,400$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Golden Knights | 69c | 1,394$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.12 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Wings | 30c | 1,355$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.35 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Golden Knights | 65c | 1,345$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.31 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings | 3c | 1,300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771b…932cbacked Golden Knights | 67c | 1,290$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Golden Knights | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Golden Knights | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Golden Knights | 59c | 992.71$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.71 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Red Wings | 32c | 863.15$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.21 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights | 66c | 823.42$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.43 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Red Wings | 33c | 813.68$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.51 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights | 74c | 789.61$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.39 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Red Wings | 33c | 770.98$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.43 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Golden Knights | 68c | 589.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.61 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 499.91$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.97 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Red Wings | 33c | 444$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Red Wings | 33c | 361.13$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Wings | 20c | 340.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 304.94$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Red Wings | 34c | 302.33$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Golden Knights | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Golden Knights | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 52c | 262$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…a5b9backed Golden Knights | 67c | 247.63$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…35adbacked Golden Knights | 67c | 217.67$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…b4f9backed Red Wings | 51c | 216$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Red Wings | 34c | 210$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8129…e82fbacked Golden Knights | 67c | 204.91$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Golden Knights | 66c | 204$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Red Wings | 12c | 203.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Golden Knights | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Red Wings | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…f582backed Golden Knights | 66c | 199.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Golden Knights | 60c | 198.75$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…7b43backed Red Wings | 34c | 191.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Red Wings | 34c | 175.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Golden Knights | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Golden Knights | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…ae1abacked Red Wings | 34c | 120.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Red Wings | 50c | 117.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Golden Knights | 58c | 115.47$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…461dbacked Red Wings | 34c | 113.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Golden Knights | 62c | 113.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0375…b9f2backed Golden Knights | 66c | 105$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Golden Knights | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Golden Knights | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Wings | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Golden Knights | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Red Wings | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…962dbacked Red Wings | 34c | 85.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Red Wings | 18c | 83.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Red Wings | 24c | 78.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Golden Knights | 66c | 76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…7c50backed Golden Knights | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Golden Knights | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Red Wings | 33c | 64.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…73e2backed Golden Knights | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Golden Knights | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…3d41backed Red Wings | 35c | 50.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…2154backed Golden Knights | 67c | 45.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…f4a8backed Red Wings | 35c | 45.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Golden Knights | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Golden Knights | 65c | 43.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Golden Knights | 59c | 42.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…35a8backed Red Wings | 34c | 41.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Red Wings | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…4acebacked Red Wings | 34c | 39.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Golden Knights | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Golden Knights | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Golden Knights | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…3f7cbacked Red Wings | 34c | 35.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6666…08febacked Red Wings | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ca…81febacked Red Wings | 34c | 33.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4471…492ebacked Red Wings | 34c | 32.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…064dbacked Red Wings | 34c | 32.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffda…1371backed Red Wings | 34c | 31.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d0…5b66backed Red Wings | 34c | 30.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b06…7ca4backed Red Wings | 34c | 30.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Golden Knights | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245d…3e9bbacked Golden Knights | 67c | 29.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4fa5backed Golden Knights | 67c | 29.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…9b75backed Red Wings | 34c | 29.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85d…1a4dbacked Golden Knights | 67c | 29.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3111…9b92backed Golden Knights | 67c | 29.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…06bebacked Golden Knights | 67c | 27.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.