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NHL · resolved market

Bruins vs. Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ducksof Bruins, Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,806 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Ducks54c18,296$9,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,430.6636242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed Bruins47c9,443$4,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,480.554151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Bruins46c8,400$3,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,86492848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Bruins46c6,708$3,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,070.291,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Ducks56c5,972$3,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.883852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e8b…c171backed Bruins45c5,181$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,331.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ef7…0745backed Bruins45c4,946$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,225.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49e8…bdaabacked Ducks55c4,717$2,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,122.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c4…40c2backed Ducks55c4,590$2,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,065.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60e8…a8ccbacked Ducks55c4,396$2,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Bruins11c4,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf835…9b07backed Bruins45c3,576$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Ducks59c3,099$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.9313348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Ducks54c3,000$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,37024546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec2c…8f76backed Ducks58c2,587$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Bruins46c2,426$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.222842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Bruins44c2,200$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.391,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Bruins46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb31…cd36backed Ducks55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb8…74b8backed Bruins45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Bruins43c1,835$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.1249351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Ducks55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.1815261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe696…36a0backed Bruins45c1,189$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5351050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0417…a81ebacked Ducks55c1,189$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5351330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb92d…f84bbacked Ducks56c1,157$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a48…9f3ebacked Ducks55c1,118$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.181070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3318…ea60backed Bruins45c1,118$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.181241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bruins40c1,105$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.171,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf7…7894backed Ducks55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.91955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bab…b470backed Bruins45c1,089$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Bruins45c1,004$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.0837738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Bruins45c960$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4321,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94e3…da40backed Ducks56c956.61$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.911250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Bruins1c945.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.154436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks52c886.52$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.261,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6c6…b9adbacked Bruins44c867.17$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.55837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1ec…6933backed Bruins44c823.3$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.251752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bruins44c822$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.6875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1048…f83abacked Bruins44c747.28$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8734…2e6cbacked Ducks56c723.75$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Bruins45c675.68$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9320649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e47…d77cbacked Bruins46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d9…cce7backed Ducks55c640$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2882100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x928c…c1d8backed Ducks55c636.36$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff1…b6f0backed Bruins46c621.74$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bruins45c562.51$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Ducks60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Bruins45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97b…388dbacked Bruins44c406.36$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.81361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Bruins43c332.99$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.197240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Bruins32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Bruins46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98c…1227backed Ducks54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66fc…57c0backed Bruins46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Bruins44c272.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0560549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Bruins44c272.28$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0484051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf956…40eabacked Ducks54c255$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0b1…8969backed Bruins46c255$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Bruins45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.551044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d82…73fabacked Bruins46c233$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced9…137bbacked Ducks54c233$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+120.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Bruins45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Bruins45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d1…70acbacked Bruins46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53c4…2e45backed Ducks54c220$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…b716backed Ducks54c215$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+103.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf26…c429backed Bruins46c215$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Ducks54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9250857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b2…4874backed Ducks59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6612…0244backed Ducks54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…263cbacked Ducks54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf243…c8f2backed Bruins46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2324…e4dcbacked Bruins46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed Ducks70c190$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6824…1642backed Ducks54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1965…ba40backed Bruins46c190$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb23e…9c13backed Ducks55c190$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0f0…c92bbacked Ducks54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb60…cfe0backed Bruins46c190$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0283…42afbacked Bruins46c190$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe99e…294cbacked Ducks54c188$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dff…8e31backed Bruins46c188$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ca…ec75backed Ducks54c188$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7306…8998backed Bruins46c188$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Ducks54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1941757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad9…89f1backed Bruins46c179$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51c1…86a2backed Ducks54c179$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3361…1150backed Ducks54c178$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7be…0987backed Bruins46c178$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea1e…24a1backed Bruins46c177$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da2…b9b3backed Ducks54c177$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcc…2d54backed Ducks55c170.91$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.91862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7969…c333backed Bruins46c156$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3102…96b7backed Ducks54c156$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a0…9870backed Bruins46c155$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6033…b18abacked Ducks54c155$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Bruins44c154.33$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3128440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Bruins43c150$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.817054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…463dbacked Bruins46c145$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.