Movies · resolved market
Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 55 and 60?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64cc666a27dcebe388b1bc28a999abb9b2d6b30681bade92a861e0fc1ee09dc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…f95bbacked No | 79c | 44,219$34,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,285.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…d302backed Yes | 21c | 44,219$9,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,285.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2fa6backed Yes | 13c | 576.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed Yes | 3c | 401.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…b081backed Yes | 15c | 399.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 4c | 367.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes | 20c | 317.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 16c | 234$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 14c | 205$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 16c | 193.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 18c | 152.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4006…afd0backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…3741backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 55 and 60?this page
- Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50 and 55?No won
- Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60 and 65?Yes won
- Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be more than 65?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.