NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Blues
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67c7b07b7b7b290eeead0a30b6c1fd7240d4baa4ea0e6e4979df929a090fe64d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Blackhawks, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Blackhawks | 26c | 7,309$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Blues | 74c | 4,868$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.56 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Blues | 73c | 1,965$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.45 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Blackhawks | 26c | 1,881$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.06 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacf3…f840backed Blackhawks | 1c | 1,464$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blues | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blackhawks | 27c | 1,068$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.34 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Blues | 76c | 1,006$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.49 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Blues | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blues | 73c | 863.98$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.27 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Blackhawks | 5c | 712.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Blackhawks | 27c | 650.42$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.8 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Blackhawks | 27c | 550$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Blues | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks | 27c | 489.93$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blues | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…34e6backed Blues | 73c | 377$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blackhawks | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb896…c033backed Blackhawks | 3c | 335$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Blues | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blues | 73c | 267.85$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Blues | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Blues | 74c | 222$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Blackhawks | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa191…7facbacked Blues | 73c | 186.56$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blackhawks | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Blues | 72c | 180.29$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad55…2054backed Blackhawks | 9c | 169.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Blues | 74c | 160.63$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Blackhawks | 26c | 160$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…1421backed Blackhawks | 7c | 154$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Blues | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…8e1dbacked Blues | 75c | 137.69$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…0533backed Blackhawks | 26c | 134.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Blues | 70c | 131.81$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Blackhawks | 27c | 129.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Blackhawks | 27c | 107.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Blackhawks | 27c | 107.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Blues | 72c | 102.36$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blues | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Blues | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Blackhawks | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blackhawks | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Blues | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Blues | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Blackhawks | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…cb9ebacked Blues | 74c | 68.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…0c70backed Blues | 75c | 67.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…869fbacked Blues | 75c | 67.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4aa…6c05backed Blackhawks | 27c | 65.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0b2bbacked Blues | 73c | 56.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…a5dbbacked Blackhawks | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Blues | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…73e2backed Blues | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Blackhawks | 30c | 50.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blackhawks | 27c | 50.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Blues | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Blackhawks | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…4310backed Blues | 74c | 36.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Blues | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Blues | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…2e4dbacked Blues | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 86 | 69.8%60 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Blues | 75c | 27.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…279dbacked Blues | 72c | 16.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Blues | 75c | 16.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Blues | 75c | 15.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.