NFL · resolved market
National Anthem O/U 120.5 seconds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17ea0975d5d14639ee1f3a1fdacdeeeb94cbc1c213dbbe2e1ef6221779ce25f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Over | 42c | 33,887$14,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,210.22 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…1c8cbacked Under | 61c | 13,044$7,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,117.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 49c | 10,527$5,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,383.47 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e7…55ccbacked Over | 54c | 9,289$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4671…56b0backed Under | 54c | 9,275$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,274.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Under | 74c | 8,147$6,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…0d90backed Under | 59c | 6,819$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…92dcbacked Over | 49c | 5,725$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c3…7e7cbacked Over | 49c | 3,268$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…2e19backed Under | 59c | 2,811$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…9dacbacked Under | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Over | 39c | 2,410$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.94 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Over | 44c | 2,273$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.22 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2203…6d32backed Under | 63c | 2,210$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…dfcebacked Over | 47c | 2,095$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Over | 18c | 1,562$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Over | 43c | 1,557$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…f05dbacked Under | 69c | 1,450$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Under | 55c | 1,432$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.28 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Over | 38c | 1,329$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Under | 44c | 1,172$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.97 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…3a4cbacked Under | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec6…051dbacked Under | 59c | 934.21$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…1e37backed Under | 60c | 898.05$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…490bbacked Over | 56c | 886.21$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…489fbacked Under | 58c | 882.32$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Over | 53c | 857.83$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1290…5269backed Over | 50c | 800$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ef…1dbfbacked Over | 57c | 779.43$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…89dcbacked Under | 51c | 604.29$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd7…4c73backed Under | 57c | 600$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4298…f07dbacked Over | 54c | 594.84$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…0484backed Over | 44c | 582.49$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.78 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…6a60backed Under | 56c | 566.04$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Under | 51c | 554.64$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.43 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Over | 50c | 523.04$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.73 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…ea20backed Over | 43c | 520.71$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc797…3a1cbacked Under | 57c | 520.71$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 35c | 518.17$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Under | 46c | 505.54$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.13 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Under | 55c | 485.78$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x003d…7a58backed Under | 56c | 476.25$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Under | 44c | 461.12$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.44 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Under | 58c | 459.97$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.19 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…3587backed Over | 54c | 457.41$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Over | 49c | 448.81$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.82 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…aed5backed Over | 40c | 406.55$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.62 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…5ea1backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Under | 65c | 390.09$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.96 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa731…002bbacked Over | 53c | 377.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Under | 60c | 352.19$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 91 | 81.3%74 W · 17 L | +15.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Under | 49c | 350$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…1b30backed Under | 57c | 348.66$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…130dbacked Over | 43c | 348.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x220e…843fbacked Under | 58c | 340.84$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Under | 58c | 317.84$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Over | 44c | 314.42$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6d…1afcbacked Over | 43c | 313.04$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Over | 49c | 302.04$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Under | 56c | 300$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…ae66backed Over | 56c | 268.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f7…e1d3backed Under | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…da68backed Over | 39c | 256.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c91…fd02backed Under | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…b444backed Over | 44c | 225.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…be76backed Over | 50c | 223.28$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…2b52backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 54c | 222$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…ec1fbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b59…b31bbacked Under | 57c | 205.26$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Over | 37c | 202$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…9818backed Over | 76c | 196.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…1d08backed Over | 49c | 165$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Over | 45c | 155$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Over | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc333…466fbacked Under | 57c | 139.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1b…9397backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Over | 45c | 133.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Over | 46c | 132$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…5887backed Under | 69c | 131$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdd…64a7backed Under | 74c | 126.7$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…9d66backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64b…1d1dbacked Over | 39c | 125$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…ac5abacked Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Over | 45c | 112.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85b…60e1backed Over | 40c | 112.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…3e51backed Over | 46c | 112.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…4946backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Over | 47c | 106.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Over | 49c | 104$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked Over | 79c | 103$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…e37fbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Over | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…bb92backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.